← Smart money
0x5e55…8ffd
SharpEdge
-8.9pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
12% @ 21.0¢
Brier
0.071
Resolved
290
Avg size
$732
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 13% (7/56) | -44% | 56 |
| Sports | 42% (16/38) | -96% | 38 |
| Politics | 25% (3/12) | +139% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 20% (1/5) | -91% | 5 |
| Crypto | 25% (1/4) | -15% | 4 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other56 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (7/56)
- ROI
- -44%
- Sports38 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (16/38)
- ROI
- -96%
- Politics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (3/12)
- ROI
- +139%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -91%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -15%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
24% hit · 28/116- Broncos$8.7k @ 51.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 31.5¢
- Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
- No$35 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$8.1k @ 81.8¢
- Under$60 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$22.0k @ 19.4¢
- Yes$45 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$8.5k @ 17.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 1.7¢
- No$176 @ 88.2¢
- Yes$18 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
- No$345 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$82 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 19.0¢
- Over$47 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 0.5¢
- Argentina$45 @ 43.0¢
- Under$8.3k @ 49.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 14.5¢
- Yes$176 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$383 @ 3.7¢
- No$31 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$997 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$47 @ 46.0¢
- No$9 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 17.5¢
- No$8.8k @ 68.0¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 32.0¢
- Yes$85 @ 8.0¢
- No$53 @ 52.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 69.0¢
- Yes$269 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 12.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$9.2k @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 8.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$13 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$332 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$7.3k @ 66.0¢
- No$54 @ 53.0¢
- No$61 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$636 @ 5.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | Tech | No | $174.8k | 93.0¢ |
- No$174.8k @ 93.0¢