← Smart money
0x5e1f…7828
SharpEdge
+9.1pp
ROI
+22%
Win rate
18% @ 9.3¢
Brier
0.128
Resolved
244
Avg size
$70
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 38% (8/21) | +143% | 21 |
| Politics | 20% (1/5) | -27% | 5 |
| Sports | 25% (1/4) | -54% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other21 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (8/21)
- ROI
- +143%
- Politics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- -27%
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -54%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
32% hit · 10/31- Yes$61 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$304 @ 53.0¢
- Under$204 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$253 @ 27.9¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 7.1¢
- Yes$199 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 8.8¢
- Yes$386 @ 50.0¢
- Under$7 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Under$102 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$500 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 3.8¢
- Spurs$203 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$240 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$116 @ 0.5¢
- No$963 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$31 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$790 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$764 @ 6.3¢
- Under$305 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$567 @ 4.1¢
- Rockets$203 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$313 @ 30.7¢
- Yes$236 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$107 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 12.1¢
- Yes$31 @ 6.8¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | — | Yes | $666 | 10.6¢ |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | Geopolitics | Yes | $259 | 2.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Politics | Yes | $38 | 1.9¢ |
- Yes$666 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$259 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 1.9¢