0x5d63…2cbf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5d636ffd7d0a613b8af6d481d14ddd96be562cbf
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.9pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

35% @ 32.4¢

Brier

0.128

Resolved

2420

Avg size

$133

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	39% (166/425)	+11%	425
Sports	37% (63/169)	+16%	169
Crypto	65% (15/23)	+51%	23
Politics	50% (5/10)	+48%	10

Other425 bets
Hit rate
39% (166/425)
ROI
+11%
Sports169 bets
Hit rate
37% (63/169)
ROI
+16%
Crypto23 bets
Hit rate
65% (15/23)
ROI
+51%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
ROI
+48%

Track record

40% hit · 249/627

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	$35	7.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	$5.0k	50.0¢	Lost
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	$5.0k	50.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?	Yes	$48	48.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	$2.5k	25.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	$200	2.0¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	$200	2.0¢	Lost
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$50	5.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	$1.2k	78.3¢	Won
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$256	21.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins	Liquid	$63	35.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	$115	11.0¢	Won
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$57	10.7¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 before 2026?	No	$550	55.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A	FURIA	$110	55.0¢	Won
Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez	Elena Rybakina	$2.0k	89.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Over	$100	40.0¢	Lost
Will Base launch a token in 2025?	No	$17.6k	88.0¢	Won
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	$275	55.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$202	60.0¢	Won
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines	Tennessee Volunteers	$1.2k	24.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?	Yes	$12	4.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	$100	6.7¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$202	67.0¢	Won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)	Cabo Verde	$325	65.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$256	21.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5	Over	$402	80.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$250	50.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	PARIVISION	$20	54.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$50	50.0¢	Won
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	$105	9.2¢	Won
Will Solana reach $240 in October?	Yes	$150	30.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	$20	2.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Team Falcons	$1.3k	51.0¢	Won
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$1.1k	52.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Team Falcons	$644	75.9¢	Won
Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5	Over	$11	11.0¢	Lost
Spurs vs. Knicks	Spurs	$51	47.0¢	Won
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$220	2.0¢	Lost
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5	Over	$230	11.0¢	Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Won
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	$205	22.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?	Yes	$500	25.0¢	Lost
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?	Yes	$325	65.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$375	75.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.5k	75.0¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	$510	85.0¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	$550	55.0¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Over	$250	25.0¢	Lost

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Lost
No$35 @ 7.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Lost
No$5.0k @ 50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
Yes$5.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?Lost
Yes$48 @ 48.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Won
No$2.5k @ 25.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Lost
No$200 @ 2.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Lost
No$200 @ 2.0¢
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageWon
Team Falcons$1.2k @ 78.3¢
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$256 @ 21.0¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-InsLost
Liquid$63 @ 35.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?Won
Yes$115 @ 11.0¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$57 @ 10.7¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 before 2026?Lost
No$550 @ 55.0¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group AWon
FURIA$110 @ 55.0¢
Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah FernandezWon
Elena Rybakina$2.0k @ 89.0¢
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 2nd Half O/U 0.5Lost
Over$100 @ 40.0¢
Will Base launch a token in 2025?Won
No$17.6k @ 88.0¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Lost
Yes$275 @ 55.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$202 @ 60.0¢
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan WolverinesLost
Tennessee Volunteers$1.2k @ 24.0¢
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?Lost
Yes$12 @ 4.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Lost
Yes$100 @ 6.7¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$202 @ 67.0¢
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Won
Cabo Verde$325 @ 65.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$256 @ 21.0¢
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5Won
Over$402 @ 80.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$250 @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Lost
PARIVISION$20 @ 54.0¢
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Over$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Won
Yes$105 @ 9.2¢
Will Solana reach $240 in October?Lost
Yes$150 @ 30.0¢
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Croatia?Lost
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AWon
Team Falcons$1.3k @ 51.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 52.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageWon
Team Falcons$644 @ 75.9¢
Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$11 @ 11.0¢
Spurs vs. KnicksWon
Spurs$51 @ 47.0¢
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$220 @ 2.0¢
Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$230 @ 11.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of February?Won
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao FonsecaLost
Joao Fonseca$205 @ 22.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Lost
Yes$500 @ 25.0¢
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?Won
Yes$325 @ 65.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$375 @ 75.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 75.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
No$510 @ 85.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Lost
Yes$550 @ 55.0¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$250 @ 25.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$10.0k	50.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$10.0k	50.0¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Sports	NRG	$3.0k	95.4¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	Sports	BetBoom Team	$2.1k	33.0¢
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys	—	Alexander Bublik	$2.0k	66.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1.6k	16.0¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	Sports	Gen.G	$1.5k	71.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Sports	No	$1.3k	63.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	—	Up	$1.2k	92.4¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	Sports	BetBoom Team	$1.2k	37.4¢
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Crypto	No	$1.0k	25.0¢
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$1.0k	50.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Sports	Yes	$1.0k	40.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$1000	25.0¢
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$991	10.0¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$900	30.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$898	9.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	—	Up	$850	50.0¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$819	0.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$750	15.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	—	Down	$700	35.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$697	3.4¢
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Sports	No	$600	54.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$550	5.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	—	Up	$510	51.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$500	5.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$500	5.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	—	Yes	$500	50.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	—	Over	$500	50.0¢
Spurs vs. Thunder	Sports	Thunder	$500	58.0¢

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$10.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$10.0k @ 50.0¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Sports
NRG$3.0k @ 95.4¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerSports
BetBoom Team$2.1k @ 33.0¢
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys—
Alexander Bublik$2.0k @ 66.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1.6k @ 16.0¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerSports
Gen.G$1.5k @ 71.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
No$1.3k @ 63.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET—
Up$1.2k @ 92.4¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerSports
BetBoom Team$1.2k @ 37.4¢
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Crypto
No$1.0k @ 25.0¢
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?Crypto
No$1.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Sports
Yes$1.0k @ 40.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$1000 @ 25.0¢
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$991 @ 10.0¢
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$900 @ 30.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$898 @ 9.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET—
Up$850 @ 50.0¢
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$819 @ 0.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$750 @ 15.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET—
Down$700 @ 35.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$697 @ 3.4¢
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?Sports
No$600 @ 54.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$550 @ 5.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET—
Up$510 @ 51.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$500 @ 5.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$500 @ 5.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?—
Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5—
Over$500 @ 50.0¢
Spurs vs. ThunderSports
Thunder$500 @ 58.0¢