← Smart money
0x5d63…9075
Edge
+6.1pp
ROI
+35%
Win rate
51% @ 44.7¢
Brier
0.232
Resolved
118
Avg size
$16
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (214/428) | -1% | 428 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/36) | -100% | 36 |
- Other428 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (214/428)
- ROI
- -1%
- Crypto36 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/36)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
46% hit · 214/464- No$163 @ 81.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 14.4¢
- No$46 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$190 @ 81.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.6¢
- No$190 @ 27.1¢
- Yes$68 @ 70.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
- No$134 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$231 @ 37.4¢
- No$431 @ 75.3¢
- Yes$57 @ 69.8¢
- No$189 @ 47.5¢
- Yes$172 @ 21.0¢
- No$2 @ 17.0¢
- No$4 @ 45.0¢
- No$1 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$78 @ 99.7¢
- Down$22 @ 49.7¢
- Down$2 @ 43.0¢
- No$14 @ 71.5¢
- Down$18 @ 43.8¢
- Yes$99 @ 99.1¢
- No$8 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
- Down$22 @ 48.7¢
- Up$2 @ 46.0¢
- Down$4 @ 44.5¢
- No$0 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 99.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
- No$22 @ 68.1¢
- Yes$99 @ 99.1¢
- No$9 @ 90.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 84.0¢
- No$7 @ 52.3¢
- Yes$20 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.3¢
- No$20 @ 47.8¢
- No$6 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 99.0¢
- No$3 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 99.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | No | $66 | 66.0¢ |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Politics | No | $57 | 57.0¢ |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Politics | No | $49 | 51.7¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $28 | 33.0¢ |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 1.6¢ |
- No$66 @ 66.0¢
- No$57 @ 57.0¢
- No$49 @ 51.7¢
- Yes$28 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.6¢