0x5d5e…9a5e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5d5e32dc9a054f4e4da123353dded3e2ac379a5e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.4pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

67% @ 62.6¢

Brier

0.157

Resolved

1243

Avg size

$40

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	70% (166/236)	+13%	236
Politics	65% (13/20)	+3%	20
Sports	56% (5/9)	-5%	9
Culture	100% (5/5)	+16%	5
Tech	100% (1/1)	+73%	1
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+27%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other236 bets
Hit rate
70% (166/236)
ROI
+13%
Politics20 bets
Hit rate
65% (13/20)
ROI
+3%
Sports9 bets
Hit rate
56% (5/9)
ROI
-5%
Culture5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+16%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+73%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+27%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

70% hit · 191/274

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in September?	Yes	$1.4k	95.4¢	Won
Will Netanyahu say "Drone" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	$45	99.0¢	Won
Will Netanyahu say "Ceasefire" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	$30	99.0¢	Won
Will Tim Cook say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?	No	$10	8.6¢	Lost
Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	$113	87.0¢	Won
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$193	51.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Mine" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	No	$7	87.5¢	Won
Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	$11	11.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	$196	88.0¢	Won
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	No	$1.7k	55.3¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$132	88.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Autopen" during WHCA Dinner events?	No	$11	84.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	Yes	$220	73.3¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Angela" or "Merkel" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	No	$8	81.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "World" during UFC 250?	No	$2	0.9¢	Lost
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?	No	$97	83.4¢	Won
Will Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?	Yes	$29	84.0¢	Won
Will JD Vance say "Prescription Drug" in Wisconsin on Thursday?	No	$64	63.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?	No	$5	54.0¢	Lost
Will Vance say "Hell" 2+ times during Air Force Academy Address?	No	$4	73.0¢	Won
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?	Yes	$81	81.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Hezbollah" or "Hamas" during Ohio visit?	No	$12	88.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?	Yes	$4	80.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$304	55.3¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	Yes	$156	78.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Scam" during Tele-Rally?	No	$17	86.0¢	Won
Will "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars?	No	$2	89.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	No	$516	75.5¢	Won
Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	$22	51.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	No	$221	88.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?	No	$50	89.0¢	Won
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?	Yes	$43	85.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "State of the Union" in Corpus Christi on Friday?	Yes	$8	83.0¢	Won
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 2, 2026?	No	$57	57.0¢	Won
Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?	No	$69	89.7¢	Won
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	$236	23.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Knicks" during Tele-Rallies?	No	$7	86.0¢	Won
MegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	$3	65.0¢	Won
Will Melania say "Foster" or "Fostering" 7+ times during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?	No	$52	88.2¢	Won
Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	$75	75.0¢	Won
Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?	Yes	$2	22.0¢	Lost
Will "Ghost" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	$82	81.0¢	Won
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	$206	82.2¢	Won
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?	No	$9	89.5¢	Won
Will Bernie Sanders say "Palestine" at the rally on Saturday?	Yes	$3	60.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA say "Agent" or "Agentic" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	No	$9	21.6¢	Lost
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$171	85.5¢	Won
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)	No	$269	88.0¢	Won
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	$2.5k	87.1¢	Won
Will Trump say "Polling" this week?	Yes	$129	83.9¢	Won

Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in September?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 95.4¢
Will Netanyahu say "Drone" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Won
No$45 @ 99.0¢
Will Netanyahu say "Ceasefire" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Won
No$30 @ 99.0¢
Will Tim Cook say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?Lost
No$10 @ 8.6¢
Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Won
No$113 @ 87.0¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
No$193 @ 51.7¢
Will Trump say "Mine" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Won
No$7 @ 87.5¢
Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Lost
Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Won
No$196 @ 88.0¢
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Won
No$1.7k @ 55.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$132 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump say "Autopen" during WHCA Dinner events?Won
No$11 @ 84.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Lost
Yes$220 @ 73.3¢
Will Trump say "Angela" or "Merkel" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?Lost
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump say "World" during UFC 250?Lost
No$2 @ 0.9¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?Won
No$97 @ 83.4¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?Won
Yes$29 @ 84.0¢
Will JD Vance say "Prescription Drug" in Wisconsin on Thursday?Lost
No$64 @ 63.5¢
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?Lost
No$5 @ 54.0¢
Will Vance say "Hell" 2+ times during Air Force Academy Address?Won
No$4 @ 73.0¢
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?Lost
Yes$81 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump say "Hezbollah" or "Hamas" during Ohio visit?Won
No$12 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Won
Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
No$304 @ 55.3¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Lost
Yes$156 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Scam" during Tele-Rally?Won
No$17 @ 86.0¢
Will "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars?Won
No$2 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump say "Blockade" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Won
No$516 @ 75.5¢
Will "AI" be said 50+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Won
Yes$22 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Won
No$221 @ 88.6¢
Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?Won
No$50 @ 89.0¢
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Won
Yes$43 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump say "State of the Union" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Won
Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 2, 2026?Won
No$57 @ 57.0¢
Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?Won
No$69 @ 89.7¢
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Lost
No$236 @ 23.7¢
Will Trump say "Knicks" during Tele-Rallies?Won
No$7 @ 86.0¢
MegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
Yes$3 @ 65.0¢
Will Melania say "Foster" or "Fostering" 7+ times during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?Won
No$52 @ 88.2¢
Will Trump's remarks not air?Won
No$75 @ 75.0¢
Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?Lost
Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
Will "Ghost" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Won
No$82 @ 81.0¢
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?Won
No$206 @ 82.2¢
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?Won
No$9 @ 89.5¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Palestine" at the rally on Saturday?Lost
Yes$3 @ 60.0¢
Will NVIDIA say "Agent" or "Agentic" 10+ times during their next earnings call?Lost
No$9 @ 21.6¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
Yes$171 @ 85.5¢
Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)Won
No$269 @ 88.0¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Won
No$2.5k @ 87.1¢
Will Trump say "Polling" this week?Won
Yes$129 @ 83.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$3.0k	78.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$2.6k	90.2¢
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by September 25?	Politics	No	$2.3k	97.5¢
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 9?	Politics	No	$1.6k	94.8¢
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?	Politics	No	$1.4k	92.0¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.3k	99.0¢
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2?	Politics	No	$1.2k	95.3¢
Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?	—	Yes	$955	98.9¢
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Politics	No	$262	84.4¢
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?	Politics	No	$216	83.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$206	70.5¢
Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Politics	No	$180	85.0¢
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Politics	No	$180	90.0¢
Will Trump say "Burnham" during his United Nations meetings?	—	No	$173	98.1¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?	Politics	No	$143	92.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$130	50.2¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$130	3.4¢
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Politics	No	$129	42.0¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$118	2.1¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	—	No	$113	98.4¢
Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during his United Nations meetings?	—	No	$113	98.1¢
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?	Politics	No	$94	94.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$88	62.8¢
Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Politics	No	$79	80.4¢
Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Politics	No	$75	80.6¢
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his United Nations meetings?	—	No	$73	98.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$70	39.0¢
Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?	Politics	No	$66	33.2¢
Will Republicans win young men in the midterms?	Politics	Yes	$57	75.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$49	24.3¢

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Crypto
No$3.0k @ 78.9¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$2.6k @ 90.2¢
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by September 25?Politics
No$2.3k @ 97.5¢
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 9?Politics
No$1.6k @ 94.8¢
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?Politics
No$1.4k @ 92.0¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Politics
No$1.3k @ 99.0¢
Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2?Politics
No$1.2k @ 95.3¢
Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?—
Yes$955 @ 98.9¢
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics
No$262 @ 84.4¢
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?Politics
No$216 @ 83.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$206 @ 70.5¢
Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics
No$180 @ 85.0¢
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics
No$180 @ 90.0¢
Will Trump say "Burnham" during his United Nations meetings?—
No$173 @ 98.1¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Politics
No$143 @ 92.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$130 @ 50.2¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$130 @ 3.4¢
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Politics
No$129 @ 42.0¢
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$118 @ 2.1¢
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?—
No$113 @ 98.4¢
Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during his United Nations meetings?—
No$113 @ 98.1¢
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Politics
No$94 @ 94.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$88 @ 62.8¢
Will Alex Padilla vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics
No$79 @ 80.4¢
Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics
No$75 @ 80.6¢
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his United Nations meetings?—
No$73 @ 98.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$70 @ 39.0¢
Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?Politics
No$66 @ 33.2¢
Will Republicans win young men in the midterms?Politics
Yes$57 @ 75.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$49 @ 24.3¢