0x5d4f…ce53

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5d4f03ba5a244d2290fe7e9e16269089bdfbce53
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+16.7pp

ROI

+326%

Win rate

29% @ 12.3¢

Brier

0.186

Resolved

100

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (6/17)	+360%	17
Politics	100% (5/5)	+24%	5
Sports	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other17 bets
Hit rate
35% (6/17)
ROI
+360%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+24%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

Track record

44% hit · 11/25

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$20	25.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$8	82.0¢	Won
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Yes	$8	84.6¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$16	20.3¢	Lost
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	$8	81.0¢	Won
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance	Paraguay	$10	10.0¢	Lost
Terra Wortmann: Bublik vs. Sinner	Sinner	$38	8.9¢	Lost
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	$10	8.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$16	80.0¢	Won
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton	Shelton	$20	17.5¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	$8	78.0¢	Won
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	Argentina	$21	31.4¢	Won
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	Argentina	$10	14.0¢	Won
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?	Yes	$213	9.0¢	Won
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov	Sinner	$15	50.6¢	Won
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance	Brazil	$10	26.0¢	Lost
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance	Norway	$5	35.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	Yes	$13	42.0¢	Lost
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?	No	$27	10.8¢	Won
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?	Yes	$20	1.0¢	Lost
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	$79	6.1¢	Lost
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic	Cobolli	$10	12.0¢	Lost
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	$34	1.0¢	Lost
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	$60	0.7¢	Lost
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?	No	$20	3.8¢	Lost

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Lost
Yes$20 @ 25.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 82.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Won
Yes$8 @ 84.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$16 @ 20.3¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Won
No$8 @ 81.0¢
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceLost
Paraguay$10 @ 10.0¢
Terra Wortmann: Bublik vs. Sinner Lost
Sinner $38 @ 8.9¢
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Lost
Yes$10 @ 8.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$16 @ 80.0¢
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton Lost
Shelton $20 @ 17.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Won
Yes$8 @ 78.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$21 @ 31.4¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$10 @ 14.0¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?Won
Yes$213 @ 9.0¢
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov Won
Sinner $15 @ 50.6¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceLost
Brazil$10 @ 26.0¢
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWon
Norway$5 @ 35.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$13 @ 42.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?Won
No$27 @ 10.8¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?Lost
Yes$20 @ 1.0¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?Lost
Yes$79 @ 6.1¢
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic Lost
Cobolli$10 @ 12.0¢
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$34 @ 1.0¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Lost
Yes$60 @ 0.7¢
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Lost
No$20 @ 3.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$20	25.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$15	77.0¢
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$10	10.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$10	95.8¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Politics	No	$9	94.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$9	93.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$9	85.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$8	84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$8	78.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$8	77.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$7	72.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$7	69.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$5	50.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Business	No	$3	29.0¢

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$20 @ 25.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$15 @ 77.0¢
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
No$10 @ 95.8¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics
No$9 @ 94.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$9 @ 93.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$8 @ 84.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$8 @ 78.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$8 @ 77.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$7 @ 72.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$7 @ 69.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
No$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Business
No$3 @ 29.0¢