← Smart money
0x5ca9…6ccf
SharpEdge
+9.6pp
ROI
+17%
Win rate
74% @ 64.8¢
Brier
0.159
Resolved
172
Avg size
$127
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 72% (46/64) | +17% | 64 |
| Sports | 15% (2/13) | +9% | 13 |
| Tech | 67% (2/3) | +6% | 3 |
| Politics | 67% (2/3) | +22% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (3/3) | +21% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +156% | 1 |
- Other64 bets
- Hit rate
- 72% (46/64)
- ROI
- +17%
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 15% (2/13)
- ROI
- +9%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +6%
- Politics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +22%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +21%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +156%
Track record
64% hit · 56/87- No$9 @ 86.0¢
- No$88 @ 88.0¢
- Argentina$9 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$87 @ 8.5¢
- No$12 @ 86.0¢
- No$101 @ 90.0¢
- No$163 @ 88.0¢
- No$13 @ 75.0¢
- No$502 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$53 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
- No$173 @ 80.0¢
- No$120 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 78.5¢
- Yes$78 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 9.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 1.9¢
- No$556 @ 72.1¢
- No$12 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$117 @ 11.4¢
- No$57 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 48.0¢
- No$58 @ 76.0¢
- Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?LostYes$14 @ 68.0¢
- No$1 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$91 @ 8.9¢
- No$946 @ 68.6¢
- Yes$26 @ 70.1¢
- Yes$45 @ 89.0¢
- No$265 @ 88.2¢
- No$244 @ 70.0¢
- No$12 @ 88.0¢
- No$421 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 86.7¢
- No$354 @ 69.5¢
- No$80 @ 74.0¢
- England$16 @ 67.2¢
- No$1.5k @ 87.7¢
- Yes$170 @ 16.6¢
- Yes$26 @ 2.5¢
- Spain$11 @ 75.5¢
- Yes$46 @ 65.9¢
- Yes$424 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$396 @ 59.3¢
- No$71 @ 70.0¢
- England$3 @ 52.0¢
- No$84 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$185 @ 18.1¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Politics | No | $1.9k | 95.9¢ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | Tech | No | $1.6k | 92.9¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | Politics | No | $1.4k | 95.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Tech | No | $381 | 72.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | Tech | No | $265 | 74.5¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Politics | No | $173 | 93.4¢ |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | No | $107 | 70.0¢ |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $8 | 82.8¢ |
- No$1.9k @ 95.9¢
- No$1.6k @ 92.9¢
- No$1.4k @ 95.0¢
- No$381 @ 72.0¢
- No$265 @ 74.5¢
- No$173 @ 93.4¢
- No$107 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 82.8¢