0x5c8f…d581

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5c8f7963d5c43c98512523b5dcaf26ddd57bd581
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.9pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

21% @ 17.9¢

Brier

0.129

Resolved

3762

Avg size

$11

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	32% (268/847)	+18%	847
Sports	23% (32/142)	-15%	142
Politics	15% (2/13)	+42%	13
Geopolitics	25% (1/4)	-25%	4
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other847 bets
Hit rate
32% (268/847)
ROI
+18%
Sports142 bets
Hit rate
23% (32/142)
ROI
-15%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
15% (2/13)
ROI
+42%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-25%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

30% hit · 303/1010

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	$6	1.1¢	Lost
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-10-31?	No	$24	24.2¢	Lost
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	$31	7.7¢	Lost
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-03-12?	Yes	$25	37.0¢	Lost
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 0.5	Over	$85	21.3¢	Lost
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)	Switzerland	$20	38.5¢	Lost
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5	Over	$33	55.0¢	Won
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?	No	$10	20.0¢	Won
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	$7	4.7¢	Lost
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5	Over	$30	50.0¢	Won
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	No	$6	5.9¢	Lost
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?	Yes	$49	49.0¢	Won
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	$11	0.5¢	Lost
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$51	52.0¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?	Yes	$20	32.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?	Yes	$60	48.8¢	Lost
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5	Over	$16	46.0¢	Won
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$51	57.0¢	Lost
Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5	Over	$20	2.9¢	Lost
AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5	Over	$9	11.9¢	Lost
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5	Over	$30	53.1¢	Won
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?	Yes	$25	54.0¢	Lost
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 80,000 and 90,000 voters?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5	Over	$25	45.0¢	Lost
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$41	40.5¢	Lost
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?	Yes	$56	32.0¢	Won
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5	Over	$26	58.0¢	Lost
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$35	34.6¢	Lost
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	Yes	$49	29.0¢	Won
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5	Over	$20	50.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 22?	Yes	$10	4.8¢	Lost
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	$26	25.5¢	Lost
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$46	1.8¢	Lost
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Lost
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5	Over	$41	31.5¢	Won
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5	Over	$100	17.8¢	Lost
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5	Over	$25	50.0¢	Won
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-10?	No	$20	13.3¢	Lost
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$50	56.0¢	Won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5	Over	$65	65.0¢	Lost
Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?	Yes	$40	35.0¢	Won
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?	Yes	$15	20.0¢	Lost
Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Fnatic	$4	1.0¢	Lost
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?	No	$35	21.3¢	Lost
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	$15	14.5¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$100	19.9¢	Lost
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$15	21.0¢	Lost

Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-31?Lost
Yes$6 @ 1.1¢
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-10-31?Lost
No$24 @ 24.2¢
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-31?Lost
Yes$31 @ 7.7¢
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-03-12?Lost
Yes$25 @ 37.0¢
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 0.5Lost
Over$85 @ 21.3¢
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Lost
Switzerland$20 @ 38.5¢
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Won
Over$33 @ 55.0¢
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?Won
No$10 @ 20.0¢
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?Lost
Yes$7 @ 4.7¢
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5Won
Over$30 @ 50.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Lost
No$6 @ 5.9¢
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?Won
Yes$49 @ 49.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.5¢
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$51 @ 52.0¢
Will FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?Lost
Yes$20 @ 32.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?Lost
Yes$60 @ 48.8¢
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Won
Over$16 @ 46.0¢
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$51 @ 57.0¢
Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$20 @ 2.9¢
AS Monaco FC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$9 @ 11.9¢
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Won
Over$30 @ 53.1¢
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?Lost
Yes$25 @ 54.0¢
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 80,000 and 90,000 voters?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$25 @ 45.0¢
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$41 @ 40.5¢
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-03-07?Won
Yes$56 @ 32.0¢
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$26 @ 58.0¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$35 @ 34.6¢
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?Won
Yes$49 @ 29.0¢
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Won
Over$20 @ 50.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 22?Lost
Yes$10 @ 4.8¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Lost
Yes$26 @ 25.5¢
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5Won
Over$41 @ 31.5¢
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$100 @ 17.8¢
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5Won
Over$25 @ 50.0¢
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-10?Lost
No$20 @ 13.3¢
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$50 @ 56.0¢
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$65 @ 65.0¢
Will PSV win on 2026-02-08?Won
Yes$40 @ 35.0¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?Lost
Yes$15 @ 20.0¢
Valorant: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerLost
Fnatic$4 @ 1.0¢
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?Lost
No$35 @ 21.3¢
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers BengaluruLost
Royal Challengers Bengaluru$15 @ 14.5¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$100 @ 19.9¢
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Lost
Yes$15 @ 21.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-31?	Sports	Yes	$31	7.7¢
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-10-31?	Sports	No	$24	24.2¢
Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Sports	Under	$9	2.1¢
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$8	8.0¢
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-31?	Sports	Yes	$6	1.1¢
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?	Sports	Yes	$3	0.1¢

Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-31?Sports
Yes$31 @ 7.7¢
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-10-31?Sports
No$24 @ 24.2¢
Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5Sports
Under$9 @ 2.1¢
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?Sports
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-31?Sports
Yes$6 @ 1.1¢
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-31?Sports
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢