0x5c60…67c1

Specialization by sphere

• Other195 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (156/195)

  ROI

  +6%

• Politics11 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (11/11)

  ROI

  +26%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +14%

• Will less than 8 Democratic senators vote in favor of the Laken Riley Act?Won
  No$150 @ 75.0¢
• NYC mayoral special election in 2024?Won
  No$270 @ 87.7¢
• 76ers vs. HornetsWon
  76ers$32 @ 81.0¢
• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
  Yes$445 @ 89.0¢
• Will Mitch McConnell retire before July?Won
  No$400 @ 80.0¢
• Will Trump say 'Russia' 3+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Won
  Yes$600 @ 80.0¢
• Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?Won
  Yes$465 @ 77.5¢
• Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?Won
  No$660 @ 82.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Won
  No$890 @ 89.0¢
• Will Biden pardon Adam Schiff?Lost
  No$177 @ 70.9¢
• Will there be 700k or more rides on the DC metro on Jan 20?Won
  No$89 @ 88.9¢
• Will Jimmy Carter attend presidential inauguration?Won
  No$127 @ 83.3¢
• Will the Conservative Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?Won
  No$210 @ 87.0¢
• Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Lost
  No$170 @ 68.0¢
• Will Kamala say "Project 2025" at debate?Won
  Yes$10 @ 83.0¢
• Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 5 executive orders in July?Won
  No$24 @ 80.0¢
• CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)Won
  Tran$435 @ 87.0¢
• Will Joe Biden win Cracker of the Year?Won
  No$74 @ 74.0¢
• Will SMU make the CFP National Championship Game?Won
  No$0 @ 65.0¢
• Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $370-385m by April 30?Lost
  No$104 @ 83.0¢
• Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?Won
  No$215 @ 86.0¢
• Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?Won
  Yes$5 @ 51.0¢
• Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" 3+ times during the announcement on December 19?Lost
  Yes$191 @ 38.2¢
• Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?Won
  Yes$14 @ 71.5¢
• Browns vs. BroncosLost
  Browns$8 @ 15.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
  No$178 @ 88.8¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$290 @ 58.0¢
• Will any country leave NATO in 2025?Won
  No$375 @ 75.0¢
• Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?Won
  Yes$5 @ 89.0¢
• Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 82.2¢
• Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?Lost
  No$1.1k @ 85.6¢
• Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?Won
  Yes$167 @ 89.0¢
• Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
  No$983 @ 78.6¢
• Will AOC lead House oversight committee? Won
  No$38 @ 75.0¢
• Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?Won
  No$320 @ 80.0¢
• Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 88.0¢
• US recognizes Syrian government in 2024?Won
  No$12 @ 88.0¢
• Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$3.4k @ 86.1¢
• Pelicans vs. HawksLost
  Pelicans$54 @ 27.0¢
• Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
  Yes$2.2k @ 87.0¢
• Will Biden pardon Ross Ulbricht?Won
  No$1.0k @ 87.4¢
• Will Bad Bunny say "Doja" or "Cat" 2+ times during SNL appearance on October 4?Won
  Yes$21 @ 82.0¢
• Will less than 10 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 41.0¢
• Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?Won
  No$1.1k @ 88.8¢
• Will Biden say "peaceful transition" during farewell address?Lost
  Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
• Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$665 @ 88.7¢
• Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Lost
  Yes$166 @ 71.9¢
• Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Won
  No$430 @ 86.0¢
• Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?Won
  No$63 @ 62.5¢
• Will Bad Bunny say "Puerto Rico" during SNL appearance on October 4?Won
  Yes$0 @ 40.0¢

Current positions

• US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics
  No$5.7k @ 95.3¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  No$5.3k @ 84.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$3.4k @ 86.7¢
• Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.1k @ 80.9¢
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$2.9k @ 79.9¢
• Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$2.5k @ 76.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$2.1k @ 77.1¢
• Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Culture
  No$2.0k @ 98.2¢
• Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Tech
  Yes$1.9k @ 96.5¢
• Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics
  No$1.7k @ 88.8¢
• Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?Tech
  Yes$1.6k @ 96.7¢
• Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 85.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 89.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 85.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.4k @ 86.1¢
• Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 91.8¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 84.3¢
• Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics
  Yes$1.0k @ 93.2¢
• Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$968 @ 74.3¢
• Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?Politics
  Yes$949 @ 86.3¢
• Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Tech
  No$852 @ 91.7¢
• Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?Culture
  No$744 @ 93.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$676 @ 88.2¢
• Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$579 @ 74.4¢
• Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$557 @ 55.7¢
• Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?Politics
  Yes$541 @ 87.6¢
• Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?Politics
  Yes$539 @ 83.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Politics
  Yes$494 @ 80.5¢
• Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$482 @ 45.2¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics
  No$455 @ 91.0¢