0x5c5b…1a6d

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics57 bets

  Hit rate

  65% (37/57)

  ROI

  +19%

• Other40 bets

  Hit rate

  68% (27/40)

  ROI

  +15%

• Geopolitics11 bets

  Hit rate

  91% (10/11)

  ROI

  +29%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +270%

• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Lost
  No$23 @ 61.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$53 @ 59.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Lost
  No$80 @ 44.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Lost
  No$83 @ 48.7¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$4 @ 13.0¢
• Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Lost
  No$14 @ 32.0¢
• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$41 @ 83.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
  No$31 @ 37.1¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
  No$455 @ 87.0¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$108 @ 67.5¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$34 @ 69.0¢
• Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Lost
  No$33 @ 66.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$114 @ 72.2¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$319 @ 69.1¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Won
  No$156 @ 29.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Won
  No$8 @ 72.1¢
• Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$38 @ 17.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$332 @ 88.3¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$279 @ 64.5¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
  No$99 @ 50.4¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
  No$38 @ 50.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
  No$70 @ 56.2¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$212 @ 68.6¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Won
  No$131 @ 68.8¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Won
  No$30 @ 41.5¢
• Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?Won
  No$289 @ 72.1¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$119 @ 61.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
  Yes$160 @ 27.1¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
  Yes$168 @ 19.4¢
• Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$86 @ 76.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$33 @ 84.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Won
  No$70 @ 86.6¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Won
  Yes$25 @ 57.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 25.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$128 @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$176 @ 50.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Won
  No$101 @ 80.6¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Won
  No$47 @ 40.3¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Lost
  Yes$11 @ 50.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$407 @ 77.5¢
• US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
  No$1.4k @ 43.1¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Won
  No$211 @ 81.3¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$224 @ 41.6¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$222 @ 64.1¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Won
  No$157 @ 65.4¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Won
  No$49 @ 54.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Won
  Yes$24 @ 38.2¢
• Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$174 @ 82.4¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$278 @ 55.7¢
• Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$226 @ 73.3¢

Current positions

• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$792 @ 53.5¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$686 @ 77.7¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$622 @ 78.4¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics
  No$434 @ 83.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$357 @ 80.3¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$270 @ 68.4¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$233 @ 89.3¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$204 @ 59.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$185 @ 56.0¢
• Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$174 @ 45.6¢
• Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$155 @ 76.8¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
  No$139 @ 66.5¢
• Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
  No$124 @ 57.9¢
• Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$105 @ 95.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$89 @ 64.1¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$77 @ 68.0¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics
  Yes$76 @ 87.6¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics
  No$70 @ 93.3¢
• Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$55 @ 52.6¢
• Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$34 @ 80.6¢
• EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Politics
  No$30 @ 52.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$26 @ 70.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$14 @ 35.0¢
• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$11 @ 43.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$11 @ 75.0¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics
  No$9 @ 62.9¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics
  No$8 @ 47.6¢
• Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$6 @ 88.0¢
• Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Geopolitics
  No$6 @ 69.0¢
• Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$5 @ 43.0¢