0x5c5a…aabe

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5c5aa8d9dd46b3a5ea55c0e22f2b6e88c895aabe
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.1pp

ROI

+10%

Win rate

66% @ 54.3¢

Brier

0.190

Resolved

167

Avg size

$15

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (38/69)	+10%	69
Sports	83% (15/18)	+29%	18
Politics	67% (12/18)	-6%	18
Geopolitics	67% (2/3)	-46%	3
Culture	100% (3/3)	+59%	3
Tech	100% (1/1)	+12%	1

Other69 bets
Hit rate
55% (38/69)
ROI
+10%
Sports18 bets
Hit rate
83% (15/18)
ROI
+29%
Politics18 bets
Hit rate
67% (12/18)
ROI
-6%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-46%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+59%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%

Track record

63% hit · 71/112

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	Yes	$8	16.5¢	Lost
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	No	$13	64.5¢	Lost
Will Logan Paul return to the WWE ring before October 31, 2026?	No	$40	80.0¢	Won
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	$20	66.0¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	$39	77.0¢	Won
Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	$110	91.5¢	Won
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?	Yes	$11	28.0¢	Won
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	Yes	$29	45.0¢	Won
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$15	37.5¢	Lost
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Mili Poljicak	Stefano Travaglia	$10	55.0¢	Won
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	$10	41.0¢	Lost
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	Damir Dzumhur	$10	54.0¢	Won
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Eala	Julia Grabher	$10	38.0¢	Lost
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	$18	88.4¢	Won
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$15	71.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	$20	67.0¢	Lost
Grand Prix Hassan II: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller	Alexandre Muller	$10	55.0¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	No	$21	83.0¢	Won
Credit One Charleston Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider	Leylah Fernandez	$10	35.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$111	59.3¢	Won
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?	Yes	$34	20.3¢	Lost
Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?	Yes	$20	86.0¢	Won
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	No	$14	71.0¢	Lost
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	$46	72.4¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	$40	85.0¢	Won
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?	Yes	$19	48.1¢	Won
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	No	$37	74.2¢	Won
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Lloyd Harris	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	$10	48.0¢	Lost
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$88	67.3¢	Won
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	Yes	$20	54.0¢	Won
Cherbourg: Borna Gojo vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	$10	43.0¢	Won
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary Svajda	Adolfo Vallejo	$10	59.0¢	Won
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Yes	$22	74.0¢	Lost
Seahawks vs. Cardinals	Seahawks	$30	53.0¢	Won
Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	No	$16	82.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$53	89.0¢	Won
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Zadar: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jonas Forejtek	Lorenzo Giustino	$10	48.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$33	55.7¢	Lost
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksby	Zizou Bergs	$5	45.0¢	Won
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	$7	23.0¢	Lost
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?	Yes	$10	10.8¢	Lost
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$17	58.0¢	Lost
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$30	59.0¢	Lost
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	$15	74.9¢	Won
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges	Andrey Rublev	$20	61.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$20	79.0¢	Won
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	46.0¢	Lost
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei	No	$80	40.0¢	Won

Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?Lost
Yes$8 @ 16.5¢
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?Lost
No$1 @ 3.0¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?Lost
No$13 @ 64.5¢
Will Logan Paul return to the WWE ring before October 31, 2026?Won
No$40 @ 80.0¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Won
No$20 @ 66.0¢
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Won
No$39 @ 77.0¢
Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Won
Yes$110 @ 91.5¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Won
Yes$11 @ 28.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Won
Yes$29 @ 45.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
No$15 @ 37.5¢
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Mili PoljicakWon
Stefano Travaglia$10 @ 55.0¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir KecmanovicLost
Miomir Kecmanovic$10 @ 41.0¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerWon
Damir Dzumhur$10 @ 54.0¢
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra EalaLost
Julia Grabher$10 @ 38.0¢
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Won
Lakers$18 @ 88.4¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$15 @ 71.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$20 @ 67.0¢
Grand Prix Hassan II: Federico Cina vs Alexandre MullerWon
Alexandre Muller$10 @ 55.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Won
No$21 @ 83.0¢
Credit One Charleston Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana ShnaiderLost
Leylah Fernandez$10 @ 35.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$111 @ 59.3¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?Lost
Yes$34 @ 20.3¢
Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?Won
Yes$20 @ 86.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?Lost
No$14 @ 71.0¢
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Won
No$46 @ 72.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Won
No$40 @ 85.0¢
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?Won
Yes$19 @ 48.1¢
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Won
No$37 @ 74.2¢
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Lloyd HarrisLost
Pierre-Hugues Herbert$10 @ 48.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$88 @ 67.3¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?Won
Yes$20 @ 54.0¢
Cherbourg: Borna Gojo vs Pavel KotovWon
Pavel Kotov$10 @ 43.0¢
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary SvajdaWon
Adolfo Vallejo$10 @ 59.0¢
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?Lost
Yes$22 @ 74.0¢
Seahawks vs. CardinalsWon
Seahawks$30 @ 53.0¢
Will Derek Turnbow die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Won
No$16 @ 82.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$53 @ 89.0¢
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Zadar: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jonas ForejtekLost
Lorenzo Giustino$10 @ 48.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$33 @ 55.7¢
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson BrooksbyWon
Zizou Bergs$5 @ 45.0¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Lost
Yes$7 @ 23.0¢
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?Lost
Yes$10 @ 10.8¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Lost
No$17 @ 58.0¢
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$30 @ 59.0¢
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Won
No$15 @ 74.9¢
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno BorgesWon
Andrey Rublev$20 @ 61.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$20 @ 79.0¢
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 46.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiWon
No$80 @ 40.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	Politics	No	$202	80.6¢
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Politics	Yes	$40	79.0¢
Will Uhlsport be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	—	Yes	$22	10.5¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	—	No	$20	67.0¢
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?	Politics	No	$20	64.0¢
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$17	51.8¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	—	No	$14	71.0¢
Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11?	—	No	$14	35.0¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	—	No	$13	64.5¢
Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA?	Politics	No	$12	23.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?	Sports	Yes	$10	50.0¢
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$10	46.0¢
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	—	Yes	$8	16.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$7	23.8¢
Citrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April?	—	Yes	$4	20.0¢
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	—	Yes	$2	17.8¢
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	—	No	$1	3.0¢

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?Politics
No$202 @ 80.6¢
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics
Yes$40 @ 79.0¢
Will Uhlsport be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?—
Yes$22 @ 10.5¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?—
No$20 @ 67.0¢
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Politics
No$20 @ 64.0¢
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics
Yes$17 @ 51.8¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?—
No$14 @ 71.0¢
Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11?—
No$14 @ 35.0¢
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?—
No$13 @ 64.5¢
Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA?Politics
No$12 @ 23.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Sports
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$10 @ 46.0¢
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?—
Yes$8 @ 16.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
Yes$7 @ 23.8¢
Citrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April?—
Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?—
Yes$2 @ 17.8¢
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?—
No$1 @ 3.0¢