← Smart money
0x5bb7…6f64
SharpEdge
+5.1pp
ROI
+482%
Win rate
10% @ 4.9¢
Brier
0.076
Resolved
109
Avg size
$12
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 14% (3/21) | +977% | 21 |
| Politics | 0% (0/9) | -100% | 9 |
| Sports | 100% (3/3) | +177% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other21 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (3/21)
- ROI
- +977%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/9)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +177%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
17% hit · 6/35- Yes$21 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$220 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$35 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$71 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$7 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 9.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$103 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$178 @ 12.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$29 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$23 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$21 @ 38.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$45 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$14 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$23 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$117 @ 1.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria? | Politics | Yes | $189 | 0.2¢ |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Sports | Yes | $101 | 1.0¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $100 | 4.9¢ |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $68 | 4.2¢ |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | Politics | Yes | $15 | 0.1¢ |
- Yes$189 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$101 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 4.9¢
- Yes$68 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.1¢