0x5b4a…089f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5b4ab42839ad0d40a916a00a78e6d7af62fb089f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.6pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

42% @ 32.0¢

Brier

0.113

Resolved

185

Avg size

$42

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	49% (30/61)	+50%	61
Culture	36% (5/14)	-0%	14
Politics	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+136%	1

Other61 bets
Hit rate
49% (30/61)
ROI
+50%
Culture14 bets
Hit rate
36% (5/14)
ROI
-0%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+136%

Track record

44% hit · 36/81

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views on day 6?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?	Yes	$12	56.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2?	Yes	$185	15.8¢	Lost
between 39 and 41 million views	Yes	$26	4.9¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	No	$119	60.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	Yes	$37	23.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 20?	No	$43	62.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	No	$145	64.4¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?	No	$84	83.6¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?	No	$250	72.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?	No	$75	12.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 23?	No	$8	86.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?	Yes	$11	0.1¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$134	42.4¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?	No	$102	89.9¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?	Yes	$120	6.1¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?	Yes	$50	6.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$86	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 4?	No	$231	79.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?	No	$18	87.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?	Yes	$50	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 22?	No	$12	14.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 24?	No	$4	14.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 61 million or more views on day 2?	Yes	$7	4.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	$50	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on April 18?	Yes	$28	5.3¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 3?	Yes	$17	10.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	No	$431	75.7¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 46 million views on day 3?	Yes	$54	35.1¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	$101	83.3¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 6?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?	No	$721	74.8¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 6?	Yes	$12	1.4¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?	Yes	$2	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	$116	85.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 20?	Yes	$39	6.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 1?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	$519	63.9¢	Won
Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?	Yes	$282	85.4¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	$40	2.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?	No	$91	50.9¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?	Yes	$180	13.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?	No	$92	87.6¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?	Yes	$200	7.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6?	Yes	$15	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 21?	No	$127	84.0¢	Won
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2?	No	$21	71.0¢	Won
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	$37	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 20?	No	$3	2.3¢	Lost

Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views on day 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?Won
Yes$12 @ 56.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2?Lost
Yes$185 @ 15.8¢
between 39 and 41 million viewsLost
Yes$26 @ 4.9¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?Won
No$119 @ 60.0¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$37 @ 23.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 20?Won
No$43 @ 62.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?Won
No$145 @ 64.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?Won
No$84 @ 83.6¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?Won
No$250 @ 72.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?Lost
No$75 @ 12.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 23?Won
No$8 @ 86.0¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$134 @ 42.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?Won
No$102 @ 89.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?Lost
Yes$120 @ 6.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$50 @ 6.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Won
Yes$86 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 4?Won
No$231 @ 79.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?Won
No$18 @ 87.0¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 70 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 22?Lost
No$12 @ 14.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 24?Lost
No$4 @ 14.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 61 million or more views on day 2?Lost
Yes$7 @ 4.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?Lost
Yes$50 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on April 18?Lost
Yes$28 @ 5.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$17 @ 10.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Won
No$431 @ 75.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 46 million views on day 3?Won
Yes$54 @ 35.1¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Won
Yes$101 @ 83.3¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?Won
No$721 @ 74.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$12 @ 1.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?Won
Yes$116 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on April 20?Lost
Yes$39 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 1?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?Won
No$519 @ 63.9¢
Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?Won
Yes$282 @ 85.4¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Lost
Yes$40 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?Won
No$91 @ 50.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?Lost
Yes$180 @ 13.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?Won
No$92 @ 87.6¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Lost
Yes$200 @ 7.7¢
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 61 million views on day 6?Lost
Yes$15 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 21?Won
No$127 @ 84.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2?Won
No$21 @ 71.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Lost
Yes$37 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 20?Lost
No$3 @ 2.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 6?	—	No	$118	26.5¢

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.0 and 35.5 million views on day 6?—
No$118 @ 26.5¢