0x5b34…be64

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5b348b0a9b3ab588b872ca564acb1a998c83be64
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.0pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

63% @ 53.2¢

Brier

0.154

Resolved

182

Avg size

$99

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	56% (55/99)	+6%	99
Crypto	88% (7/8)	+72%	8
Sports	33% (1/3)	+108%	3
Politics	100% (1/1)	+19%	1

Other99 bets
Hit rate
56% (55/99)
ROI
+6%
Crypto8 bets
Hit rate
88% (7/8)
ROI
+72%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+108%
Politics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%

Track record

58% hit · 64/111

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$250	84.0¢	Won
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?	Yes	$100	83.1¢	Won
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$125	76.8¢	Won
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	No	$45	47.8¢	Lost
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$20	8.7¢	Lost
Ripple above $2.00 on April 18?	No	$1	30.0¢	Lost
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?	Yes	$3	30.6¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$349	69.5¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid reach $32 before June?	Yes	$1	22.0¢	Won
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?	Yes	$30	62.0¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high before 2026?	Yes	$1	31.0¢	Won
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	$200	63.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	$23	83.0¢	Won
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	$10	27.0¢	Lost
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	No	$150	52.6¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $2.50 in April?	No	$20	76.0¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$258	32.7¢	Lost
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-21?	Yes	$266	86.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$35	7.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$500	86.0¢	Won
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-16?	Yes	$1	58.0¢	Won
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$1.0k	72.3¢	Lost
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	$175	65.8¢	Won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$60	27.4¢	Lost
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$1.5k	89.7¢	Won
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	No	$40	37.0¢	Won
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	$200	44.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	14.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Electricity" during tariff event on April 2?	No	$5	89.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$60	10.0¢	Lost
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?	Yes	$20	15.0¢	Won
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	No	$100	69.2¢	Won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$100	47.0¢	Won
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	Yes	$200	63.9¢	Won
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?	Yes	$25	10.0¢	Lost
Will Inter vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?	Yes	$1	27.0¢	Won
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$100	50.0¢	Won
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	$2.1k	67.2¢	Won
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?	No	$50	87.0¢	Won
OpenSea airdrop before July?	No	$110	69.6¢	Won
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?	No	$50	55.0¢	Won
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?	Yes	$100	74.0¢	Won
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on February 9?	Yes	$23	3.3¢	Lost
Hyperunit backed by Paradigm in 2025?	No	$158	79.9¢	Won
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$200	76.0¢	Lost
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?	Yes	$200	77.0¢	Lost
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	Yes	$80	22.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	$20	22.0¢	Lost
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Oregon Ducks	Oregon Ducks	$100	82.0¢	Won

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$250 @ 84.0¢
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 83.1¢
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
No$125 @ 76.8¢
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Lost
No$45 @ 47.8¢
No airdrop in 2025?Lost
Yes$20 @ 8.7¢
Ripple above $2.00 on April 18?Lost
No$1 @ 30.0¢
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?Lost
Yes$3 @ 30.6¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$349 @ 69.5¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $32 before June?Won
Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?Lost
Yes$30 @ 62.0¢
Ethereum all time high before 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 31.0¢
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
No$200 @ 63.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Won
No$23 @ 83.0¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?Lost
Yes$10 @ 27.0¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Lost
No$150 @ 52.6¢
Will XRP reach $2.50 in April?Won
No$20 @ 76.0¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$258 @ 32.7¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-21?Won
Yes$266 @ 86.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
No$35 @ 7.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$500 @ 86.0¢
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-16?Won
Yes$1 @ 58.0¢
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?Lost
No$1.0k @ 72.3¢
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Won
No$175 @ 65.8¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
Yes$60 @ 27.4¢
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?Won
No$1.5k @ 89.7¢
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Won
No$40 @ 37.0¢
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?Lost
No$200 @ 44.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$20 @ 14.0¢
Will Trump say "Electricity" during tariff event on April 2?Won
No$5 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
Yes$60 @ 10.0¢
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?Won
Yes$20 @ 15.0¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Won
No$100 @ 69.2¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?Won
Yes$100 @ 47.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Won
Yes$200 @ 63.9¢
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? Lost
Yes$25 @ 10.0¢
Will Inter vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?Won
Yes$1 @ 27.0¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
No$100 @ 50.0¢
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?Won
No$2.1k @ 67.2¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? Won
No$50 @ 87.0¢
OpenSea airdrop before July?Won
No$110 @ 69.6¢
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?Won
No$50 @ 55.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?Won
Yes$100 @ 74.0¢
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on February 9?Lost
Yes$23 @ 3.3¢
Hyperunit backed by Paradigm in 2025?Won
No$158 @ 79.9¢
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?Lost
No$200 @ 76.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Won
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?Lost
Yes$200 @ 77.0¢
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Lost
Yes$80 @ 22.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?Lost
Yes$20 @ 22.0¢
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Oregon DucksWon
Oregon Ducks$100 @ 82.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$924	71.5¢
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	No	$510	61.3¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$200	68.0¢
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$74	37.0¢
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$36	49.0¢

Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
No$924 @ 71.5¢
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
No$510 @ 61.3¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$200 @ 68.0¢
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$74 @ 37.0¢
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$36 @ 49.0¢