← Smart money
0x5af2…5a5b
SharpEdge
+6.4pp
ROI
+15%
Win rate
36% @ 29.2¢
Brier
0.163
Resolved
323
Avg size
$1
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 36% (67/185) | +10% | 185 |
| Sports | 46% (21/46) | +20% | 46 |
| Politics | 75% (3/4) | +48% | 4 |
| Crypto | 50% (2/4) | +30% | 4 |
| Culture | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | +34% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Science | 100% (1/1) | +75% | 1 |
- Other185 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (67/185)
- ROI
- +10%
- Sports46 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (21/46)
- ROI
- +20%
- Politics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +48%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +30%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +34%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +75%
Track record
38% hit · 95/247- Yes$31 @ 99.0¢
- No$10 @ 99.0¢
- No$9 @ 99.0¢
- No$10 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
- Jove$2 @ 60.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.1¢
- Movistar KOI$2 @ 35.0¢
- No$1 @ 66.0¢
- Federico Cina$1 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
- Team Heretics$1 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?LostNo$1 @ 25.0¢
- Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?LostYes$0 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.3¢
- Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?LostYes$1 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 29.9¢
- No$5 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
- No$1 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 58.0¢
- No$5 @ 64.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
- Elena Rybakina$1 @ 31.0¢
- Leylah Fernandez$2 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 31.0¢
- HOTU$2 @ 37.4¢
- Invictus Gaming$1 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 5.3¢
- No$3 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 31.0¢
- Flavio Cobolli$1 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
- No$10 @ 63.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Sports | Yes | $31 | 99.0¢ |
| Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Sports | No | $10 | 99.0¢ |
| Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Sports | No | $10 | 99.0¢ |
| Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Sports | No | $9 | 99.0¢ |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | Geopolitics | Yes | $4 | 51.8¢ |
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 23.0¢ |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Culture | No | $2 | 53.0¢ |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Sports | Yes | $2 | 14.0¢ |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase? | Sports | Yes | $1 | 18.0¢ |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? | Culture | Yes | $1 | 14.0¢ |
- Yes$31 @ 99.0¢
- No$10 @ 99.0¢
- No$10 @ 99.0¢
- No$9 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 51.8¢
- Will T1 win Worlds 2026?SportsYes$2 @ 23.0¢
- No$2 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 14.0¢