0x5a3b…bd3b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5a3b863b4325c6fcef6c80828dca1ddc77febd3b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.7pp

ROI

+29%

Win rate

10% @ 7.3¢

Brier

0.036

Resolved

665

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	2% (1/55)	-87%	55
Other	29% (9/31)	+3%	31
Sports	39% (11/28)	+23%	28
Politics	33% (5/15)	+202%	15
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Science55 bets
Hit rate
2% (1/55)
ROI
-87%
Other31 bets
Hit rate
29% (9/31)
ROI
+3%
Sports28 bets
Hit rate
39% (11/28)
ROI
+23%
Politics15 bets
Hit rate
33% (5/15)
ROI
+202%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

20% hit · 26/131

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$5	14.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 17?	Yes	$4	0.5¢	Lost
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	No	$10	85.0¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on June 18?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 17?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?	No	$5	75.0¢	Won
Will CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw?	No	$6	71.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 16?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 17?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	Yes	$73	59.3¢	Won
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	No	$5	37.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 79°F or below on June 20?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 28?	Yes	$5	6.0¢	Lost
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$5	9.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on June 16?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on June 17?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	$15	30.0¢	Lost
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	No	$6	80.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$15	20.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?	Yes	$5	2.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	No	$15	79.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$31	22.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C or higher on June 18?	Yes	$5	0.7¢	Lost
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$5	10.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on June 19?	Yes	$5	9.0¢	Lost
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	No	$5	43.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on June 17?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 19?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?	Yes	$5	3.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 20?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on June 17?	Yes	$5	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 17?	Yes	$2	1.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 17?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on June 19?	Yes	$5	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?	Yes	$5	35.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 17?	Yes	$4	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 21?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Lost
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	No	$5	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 21?	Yes	$3	12.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 17?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Lost
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Switzerland	$5	54.0¢	Lost
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5	Over	$35	54.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 17?	Yes	$2	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 18?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	29.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?	Yes	$29	1.7¢	Lost

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$5 @ 14.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.5¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Won
No$10 @ 85.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on June 18?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?Won
No$5 @ 75.0¢
Will CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato end in a draw?Lost
No$6 @ 71.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 17?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?Won
Yes$73 @ 59.3¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Lost
No$5 @ 37.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 79°F or below on June 20?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 28?Lost
Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C or higher on June 16?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on June 17?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$15 @ 30.0¢
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?Won
No$6 @ 80.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$15 @ 20.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 2.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Lost
No$15 @ 79.0¢
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Won
Yes$31 @ 22.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C or higher on June 18?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.7¢
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on June 19?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$5 @ 43.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C or below on June 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?Lost
Yes$5 @ 3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 20?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on June 17?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on June 19?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?Lost
Yes$5 @ 35.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 2?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 21?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Won
No$5 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 21?Lost
Yes$3 @ 12.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandLost
Switzerland$5 @ 54.0¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Won
Over$35 @ 54.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 17?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?Lost
Yes$29 @ 1.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$5	15.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$4	8.4¢
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.4¢
Maharaja T20 Trophy: Kalyani Bengaluru Blasters vs Hubli Tigers	—	Hubli Tigers	$1	1.0¢
ITF Cary: Maya Iyengar vs Madison Brengle	—	Maya Iyengar	$1	8.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Joao Fonseca	—	Jesper de Jong	$1	16.0¢
ITF Umag: Andrej Martin vs Vito Antonio Darderi	—	Vito Antonio Darderi	$1	16.0¢
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	—	Dayana Yastremska	$1	16.0¢
ITF Cary: Kristina Liutova vs Malaika Rapolu	—	Malaika Rapolu	$1	22.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1	21.0¢
Valorant: LYON vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffs	—	Contra	$1	11.6¢
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm	—	Martin Damm	$1	19.0¢
ITF Aix-Les-Bains: Iva Ivanova vs Lisa Zaar	—	Iva Ivanova	$1	17.0¢
ITF Rabat: Eero Vasa vs Yassine Smiej	—	Yassine Smiej	$1	14.0¢
Quito: Daniel Nunez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	—	Daniel Nunez	$1	13.0¢
Cary: Rio Noguchi vs Alex Martinez	—	Rio Noguchi	$1	12.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zheng	—	Nicolas Mejia	$1	12.0¢
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff	—	Solana Sierra	$1	11.0¢
ITF Skopje: Joseph Hernandez vs Vuk Radjenovic	—	Joseph Hernandez	$1	11.0¢
ITF Skopje: Drazen Petrovic vs Corentin Denolly	—	Drazen Petrovic	$1	9.0¢
ITF Rabat: Edouard Villoslada vs Massimo Giunta	—	Edouard Villoslada	$1	9.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borges	—	Nuno Borges	$1	7.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	—	Yes	$1	6.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	3.1¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$4 @ 8.4¢
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Maharaja T20 Trophy: Kalyani Bengaluru Blasters vs Hubli Tigers—
Hubli Tigers$1 @ 1.0¢
ITF Cary: Maya Iyengar vs Madison Brengle—
Maya Iyengar$1 @ 8.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Joao Fonseca—
Jesper de Jong$1 @ 16.0¢
ITF Umag: Andrej Martin vs Vito Antonio Darderi—
Vito Antonio Darderi$1 @ 16.0¢
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro—
Dayana Yastremska$1 @ 16.0¢
ITF Cary: Kristina Liutova vs Malaika Rapolu—
Malaika Rapolu$1 @ 22.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Valorant: LYON vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffs—
Contra$1 @ 11.6¢
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm—
Martin Damm$1 @ 19.0¢
ITF Aix-Les-Bains: Iva Ivanova vs Lisa Zaar—
Iva Ivanova$1 @ 17.0¢
ITF Rabat: Eero Vasa vs Yassine Smiej—
Yassine Smiej$1 @ 14.0¢
Quito: Daniel Nunez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida—
Daniel Nunez$1 @ 13.0¢
Cary: Rio Noguchi vs Alex Martinez—
Rio Noguchi$1 @ 12.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zheng—
Nicolas Mejia$1 @ 12.0¢
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff—
Solana Sierra$1 @ 11.0¢
ITF Skopje: Joseph Hernandez vs Vuk Radjenovic—
Joseph Hernandez$1 @ 11.0¢
ITF Skopje: Drazen Petrovic vs Corentin Denolly—
Drazen Petrovic$1 @ 9.0¢
ITF Rabat: Edouard Villoslada vs Massimo Giunta—
Edouard Villoslada$1 @ 9.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borges—
Nuno Borges$1 @ 7.0¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?—
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢