0x5a2b…a5cf

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5a2bf9f746409dddbd848ffd862b6d7af1dda5cf
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+16.5pp

ROI

+54%

Win rate

48% @ 32.0¢

Brier

0.267

Resolved

Avg size

$244

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	60% (12/20)	+91%	20
Politics	33% (2/6)	+55%	6
Other	100% (2/2)	+77%	2
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports20 bets
Hit rate
60% (12/20)
ROI
+91%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
+55%
Other2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+77%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

55% hit · 16/29

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?	No	$388	60.0¢	Lost
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	$395	59.0¢	Won
Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	$396	49.9¢	Won
Kraken vs. Flames	Flames	$51	52.2¢	Lost
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	$3.3k	37.8¢	Won
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3.4k	21.9¢	Lost
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	$21	4.2¢	Lost
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1.4k	54.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.8k	63.0¢	Lost
Utah vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	$51	49.5¢	Lost
Panthers vs. Sharks	Sharks	$51	44.0¢	Won
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.0k	9.7¢	Lost
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	$38	61.0¢	Won
Blackhawks vs. Utah	Utah	$51	65.0¢	Won
Wild vs. Predators	Predators	$51	43.1¢	Lost
Jets vs. Red Wings	Red Wings	$51	54.0¢	Lost
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.5k	52.7¢	Won
World Championships: Italy vs. Norway	Norway	$413	77.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.2k	13.3¢	Won
Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Yes	$255	45.8¢	Lost
Senators vs. Bruins	Bruins	$51	49.0¢	Lost
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	$2.0k	31.0¢	Lost
Blackhawks vs. Sabres	Sabres	$51	66.2¢	Won
Flames vs. Canucks	Canucks	$51	50.8¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$6.9k	55.5¢	Won
Flames vs. Kraken	Kraken	$102	56.4¢	Won
Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Yes	$201	24.2¢	Lost
Kings vs. Sharks	Sharks	$51	54.4¢	Won
Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Yes	$98	23.8¢	Won

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?Lost
No$388 @ 60.0¢
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-10-28?Won
Yes$395 @ 59.0¢
Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-10-27?Won
Yes$396 @ 49.9¢
Kraken vs. FlamesLost
Flames$51 @ 52.2¢
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$3.3k @ 37.8¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$3.4k @ 21.9¢
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$21 @ 4.2¢
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1.4k @ 54.0¢
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 63.0¢
Utah vs. Blue JacketsLost
Blue Jackets$51 @ 49.5¢
Panthers vs. SharksWon
Sharks$51 @ 44.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 9.7¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06?Won
Yes$38 @ 61.0¢
Blackhawks vs. UtahWon
Utah$51 @ 65.0¢
Wild vs. PredatorsLost
Predators$51 @ 43.1¢
Jets vs. Red WingsLost
Red Wings$51 @ 54.0¢
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 52.7¢
World Championships: Italy vs. NorwayWon
Norway$413 @ 77.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 13.3¢
Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Lost
Yes$255 @ 45.8¢
Senators vs. BruinsLost
Bruins$51 @ 49.0¢
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 31.0¢
Blackhawks vs. SabresWon
Sabres$51 @ 66.2¢
Flames vs. CanucksWon
Canucks$51 @ 50.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$6.9k @ 55.5¢
Flames vs. KrakenWon
Kraken$102 @ 56.4¢
Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Lost
Yes$201 @ 24.2¢
Kings vs. SharksWon
Sharks$51 @ 54.4¢
Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Won
Yes$98 @ 23.8¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Slovan Bratislava finish last in UCL league phase?	Sports	Yes	$500	50.0¢
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-11-07?	Sports	No	$391	59.0¢
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-03?	Sports	Yes	$390	48.0¢
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-11-07?	Sports	Yes	$390	48.0¢
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?	Sports	No	$388	60.0¢
Will Feyenoord finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?	Sports	No	$306	47.0¢
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-07?	Sports	No	$207	58.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?	Sports	Yes	$183	55.0¢
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?	Sports	Yes	$111	48.0¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-05?	Sports	No	$87	57.4¢
Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	Sports	Yes	$66	50.0¢
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?	Sports	Yes	$6	54.0¢

Will Slovan Bratislava finish last in UCL league phase?Sports
Yes$500 @ 50.0¢
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-11-07?Sports
No$391 @ 59.0¢
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-03?Sports
Yes$390 @ 48.0¢
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-11-07?Sports
Yes$390 @ 48.0¢
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?Sports
No$388 @ 60.0¢
Will Feyenoord finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?Sports
No$306 @ 47.0¢
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-07?Sports
No$207 @ 58.0¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?Sports
Yes$183 @ 55.0¢
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?Sports
Yes$111 @ 48.0¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-05?Sports
No$87 @ 57.4¢
Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?Sports
Yes$66 @ 50.0¢
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?Sports
Yes$6 @ 54.0¢