← Smart money
0x5a28…aa5c
ProfitableEdge
+4.7pp
ROI
+3%
Win rate
50% @ 45.5¢
Brier
0.102
Resolved
478
Avg size
$18
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% (83/138) | +11% | 138 |
| Sports | 48% (11/23) | -1% | 23 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Politics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Business | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other138 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (83/138)
- ROI
- +11%
- Sports23 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (11/23)
- ROI
- -1%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
56% hit · 94/168- Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$140 @ 77.2¢
- Yes$14 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 47.5¢
- Yes$21 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 53.0¢
- No$0 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$96 @ 15.8¢
- No$20 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$50 @ 40.9¢
- Yes$61 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$62 @ 77.5¢
- Yes$47 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$134 @ 80.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 17.5¢
- No$62 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 10.7¢
- Yes$19 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$87 @ 86.9¢
- Yes$13 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$113 @ 75.4¢
- Yes$57 @ 40.7¢
- Yes$60 @ 58.9¢
- Yes$83 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$85 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$90 @ 81.7¢
- Yes$135 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$50 @ 84.7¢
- Yes$35 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 10.3¢
- Yes$188 @ 85.5¢
- Yes$30 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$62 @ 82.1¢
- Yes$160 @ 69.7¢
- Yes$28 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $69 | 62.4¢ |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $53 | 75.6¢ |
| Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $40 | 80.0¢ |
| Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $38 | 76.0¢ |
| Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $36 | 73.0¢ |
| Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $36 | 18.5¢ |
| Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $31 | 62.0¢ |
| Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $20 | 28.4¢ |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $20 | 40.0¢ |
| Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $16 | 52.0¢ |
| Will Tradeweb (TW) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $14 | 18.3¢ |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Politics | Yes | $11 | 10.5¢ |
| Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $8 | 83.0¢ |
| Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings? | Business | Yes | $6 | 12.0¢ |
- Yes$69 @ 62.4¢
- Yes$53 @ 75.6¢
- Yes$40 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 18.5¢
- Yes$31 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 28.4¢
- Yes$20 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 52.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 18.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 12.0¢