← Smart money
0x595c…1a1d
SharpEdge
-4.6pp
ROI
+20%
Win rate
17% @ 22.0¢
Brier
0.138
Resolved
512
Avg size
$21
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 20% (20/102) | +27% | 102 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/16) | -100% | 16 |
| Sports | 20% (3/15) | +159% | 15 |
| Politics | 0% (0/9) | -100% | 9 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other102 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (20/102)
- ROI
- +27%
- Geopolitics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/16)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports15 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (3/15)
- ROI
- +159%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/9)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
16% hit · 23/143- Yes$34 @ 17.7¢
- Yes$135 @ 46.2¢
- Yes$56 @ 25.2¢
- Yes$20 @ 35.0¢
- Juan Carlos Prado$9 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$49 @ 7.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$65 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$79 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 30.9¢
- Yes$785 @ 23.3¢
- Yes$36 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$397 @ 40.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$62 @ 71.6¢
- Yanaki Milev$10 @ 19.9¢
- Yes$14 @ 37.1¢
- Yes$88 @ 32.2¢
- Yes$14 @ 28.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 12.4¢
- Yes$7 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$7 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$28 @ 20.9¢
- Damm$1 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
- Jan Kumstat$1 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$495 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
- Hanfmann$9 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 55.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 12.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$209 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 21.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$53 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$11 @ 4.5¢
- Yes$42 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$23 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$34 @ 15.8¢
- Yes$78 @ 46.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $156 | 27.6¢ |
| Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? | Politics | Yes | $30 | 39.0¢ |
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$156 @ 27.6¢
- Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$30 @ 39.0¢