0x5937…2100

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5937b09efce13cce3cfda9ba8046515ab5ce2100
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

-14.5pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

54% @ 68.9¢

Brier

0.209

Resolved

204

Avg size

$126

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	65% (49/75)	+4%	75
Politics	71% (10/14)	+7%	14
Science	100% (5/5)	+12%	5
Crypto	50% (2/4)	-17%	4
Sports	67% (2/3)	+19%	3
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+29%	1

Other75 bets
Hit rate
65% (49/75)
ROI
+4%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
71% (10/14)
ROI
+7%
Science5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+12%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-17%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+19%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+29%

Track record

66% hit · 69/104

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24?	Yes	$98	98.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 24?	No	$98	98.0¢	Won
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during their summit?	No	$1	98.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 22?	No	$8	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	$65	85.9¢	Won
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?	No	$400	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 22?	Yes	$67	83.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	Yes	$215	88.5¢	Lost
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$19	77.5¢	Won
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$103	84.9¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	No	$356	54.5¢	Lost
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	$40	72.0¢	Lost
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$15	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18?	Yes	$17	85.0¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	$500	87.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$6	8.9¢	Lost
Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$86	80.0¢	Won
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	$500	39.1¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	$10	17.9¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$30	15.8¢	Lost
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	$923	87.3¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$10	1.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or below on September 18?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$82	81.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$84	80.0¢	Lost
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	$100	89.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?	No	$52	88.0¢	Won
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?	No	$2.0k	76.7¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$249	77.0¢	Won
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$96	79.0¢	Won
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31?	Yes	$63	62.0¢	Won
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?	No	$98	84.3¢	Won
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	No	$3.4k	86.4¢	Won
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	No	$100	29.9¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	17.2¢	Lost
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?	No	$540	89.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	$394	71.6¢	Won
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	$243	51.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?	Yes	$17	84.5¢	Lost
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?	No	$98	80.1¢	Lost
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	$50	23.9¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?	No	$13	89.0¢	Won
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Rockets vs. Cavaliers	Rockets	$88	88.0¢	Won
Celtics vs. Magic	Celtics	$62	81.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 2?	Yes	$129	78.6¢	Won
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	No	$207	76.8¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	$9	44.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 1?	No	$73	72.0¢	Won
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	$552	83.2¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24?Won
Yes$98 @ 98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 24?Won
No$98 @ 98.0¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during their summit?Won
No$1 @ 98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 28°C on September 22?Won
No$8 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?Won
Yes$65 @ 85.9¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Won
No$400 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 22?Won
Yes$67 @ 83.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?Lost
Yes$215 @ 88.5¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$19 @ 77.5¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$103 @ 84.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Lost
No$356 @ 54.5¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionLost
Yes$40 @ 72.0¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Won
Yes$15 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18?Won
Yes$17 @ 85.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Won
No$500 @ 87.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$6 @ 8.9¢
Will Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$86 @ 80.0¢
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Lost
No$500 @ 39.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 17.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$30 @ 15.8¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Won
No$923 @ 87.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or below on September 18?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$82 @ 81.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$84 @ 80.0¢
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Won
Yes$100 @ 89.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?Won
No$52 @ 88.0¢
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Won
No$2.0k @ 76.7¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$249 @ 77.0¢
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?Won
No$96 @ 79.0¢
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31?Won
Yes$63 @ 62.0¢
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?Won
No$98 @ 84.3¢
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Won
No$3.4k @ 86.4¢
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Lost
No$100 @ 29.9¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 17.2¢
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?Won
No$540 @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Won
No$394 @ 71.6¢
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Lost
Yes$243 @ 51.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Lost
Yes$17 @ 84.5¢
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?Lost
No$98 @ 80.1¢
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Won
Yes$50 @ 23.9¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?Won
No$13 @ 89.0¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Rockets vs. CavaliersWon
Rockets$88 @ 88.0¢
Celtics vs. MagicWon
Celtics$62 @ 81.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 2?Won
Yes$129 @ 78.6¢
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Lost
No$207 @ 76.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Won
Yes$9 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 1?Won
No$73 @ 72.0¢
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Lost
No$552 @ 83.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 24?	Science	Yes	$730	93.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	Other	No	$373	93.3¢
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Politics	Yes	$279	99.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Politics	Yes	$194	97.1¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?	Politics	No	$110	72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Science	Yes	$98	98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 24?	Science	No	$97	97.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 25?	Science	No	$95	95.0¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$94	87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 24?	Science	No	$77	91.9¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$77	95.0¢
Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?	Politics	Yes	$56	56.0¢
Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?	Politics	Yes	$54	78.0¢
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?	Politics	No	$47	93.0¢
Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$40	79.0¢
Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?	Politics	Yes	$38	36.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Economy	Yes	$38	96.8¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	Politics	No	$33	94.3¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Politics	No	$33	93.0¢
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	Crypto	No	$27	91.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 24?	Science	Yes	$22	97.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 24?Science
Yes$730 @ 93.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?Other
No$373 @ 93.3¢
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics
Yes$279 @ 99.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Politics
Yes$194 @ 97.1¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?Politics
No$110 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?Science
Yes$98 @ 98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 24?Science
No$97 @ 97.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 25?Science
No$95 @ 95.0¢
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics
Yes$94 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 24?Science
No$77 @ 91.9¢
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?Politics
Yes$77 @ 95.0¢
Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Politics
Yes$56 @ 56.0¢
Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Politics
Yes$54 @ 78.0¢
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by December 31?Politics
No$47 @ 93.0¢
Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Politics
Yes$40 @ 79.0¢
Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Politics
Yes$38 @ 36.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy
Yes$38 @ 96.8¢
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?Politics
No$33 @ 94.3¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics
No$33 @ 93.0¢
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Crypto
No$27 @ 91.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 24?Science
Yes$22 @ 97.0¢