0x58fd…43a6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x58fd45d701b93e76d6c04a0983ee5b3cc29d43a6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.1pp

ROI

+7641%

Win rate

9% @ 0.1¢

Brier

0.092

Resolved

2903

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	7% (6/85)	+8918%	85
Crypto	0% (0/41)	-100%	41
Politics	0% (0/34)	-100%	34
Sports	0% (0/11)	-100%	11
Tech	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Economy	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other85 bets
Hit rate
7% (6/85)
ROI
+8918%
Crypto41 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/41)
ROI
-100%
Politics34 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/34)
ROI
-100%
Sports11 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/11)
ROI
-100%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

3% hit · 6/181

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5?	No	$7	0.1¢	Lost
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	No	$20	0.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 10?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?	No	$25	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 16?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 18?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20?	No	$15	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?	Yes	$11	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	$6	0.1¢	Lost
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 11?	No	$25	0.1¢	Lost
Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14?	No	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $150 in July?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Aljamain Sterling fight Alexander Volkanovski next?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	No	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 22?	No	$11	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?	No	$10	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on August 29?	Yes	$8	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 30?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?	No	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 19?	No	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26?	No	$20	0.1¢	Won
Will XRP reach $2.20 in July?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 1?	No	$16	0.1¢	Lost
Will Roberto Cláudio win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	No	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 18?	Yes	$5	0.1¢	Lost
Will Mark Stewart Greenstein be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 3?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Lerone Murphy fight Alexander Volkanovski next?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4?	No	$15	0.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 16?	No	$5	0.1¢	Lost

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5?Lost
No$7 @ 0.1¢
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?Won
No$20 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 10?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?Lost
No$25 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 16?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 18?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 20?Lost
No$15 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 11?Lost
No$25 @ 0.1¢
Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14?Lost
No$20 @ 0.1¢
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Solana reach $150 in July?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Aljamain Sterling fight Alexander Volkanovski next?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?Lost
No$20 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 22?Lost
No$11 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?Lost
No$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on August 29?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 30?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?Lost
No$20 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 19?Lost
No$20 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26?Won
No$20 @ 0.1¢
Will XRP reach $2.20 in July?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 1?Lost
No$16 @ 0.1¢
Will Roberto Cláudio win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?Lost
No$20 @ 0.1¢
Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 18?Lost
Yes$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Mark Stewart Greenstein be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 3?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Lerone Murphy fight Alexander Volkanovski next?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4?Lost
No$15 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 16?Lost
No$5 @ 0.1¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$15	0.1¢
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6?	Crypto	No	$8	0.1¢
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.1¢
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$2	0.1¢
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$2	0.1¢
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$2	0.1¢
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$2	0.1¢
Will Independence Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$2	0.1¢
Will Dignity Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Culture	Yes	$1	0.1¢
Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Tech	Yes	$0	0.2¢
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.1¢
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Tech	Yes	$0	0.1¢

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$15 @ 0.1¢
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6?Crypto
No$8 @ 0.1¢
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Independence Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Dignity Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢