← Smart money
0x58c0…e64f
SharpEdge
+4.8pp
ROI
+89%
Win rate
17% @ 12.3¢
Brier
0.101
Resolved
246
Avg size
$4
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 28% (24/87) | +93% | 87 |
| Politics | 23% (3/13) | +135% | 13 |
| Sports | 17% (1/6) | -61% | 6 |
| Science | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other87 bets
- Hit rate
- 28% (24/87)
- ROI
- +93%
- Politics13 bets
- Hit rate
- 23% (3/13)
- ROI
- +135%
- Sports6 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (1/6)
- ROI
- -61%
- Science2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
25% hit · 28/110- Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
- No$1 @ 4.4¢
- Yes$17 @ 11.3¢
- No$6 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 15.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$8 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$6 @ 11.5¢
- No$2 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 23.7¢
- Yes$85 @ 19.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$46 @ 10.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$18 @ 25.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$25 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$24 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 5.3¢
- Yes$6 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 28.0¢
- No$3 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$9 @ 15.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 26.0¢
- No$10 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 55.4¢
- Yes$18 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 6.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 18.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- No$4 @ 17.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | Politics | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $3 | 0.3¢ |
- Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
- No$3 @ 0.3¢