0x586e…4910

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x586eb577c910c8ef234f90d1e2fb04a0bc374910
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.7pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

75% @ 67.8¢

Brier

0.186

Resolved

240

Avg size

$18

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	74% (138/187)	+13%	187
Politics	100% (6/6)	+40%	6
Sports	33% (1/3)	+106%	3
Economy	100% (1/1)	+32%	1

Other187 bets
Hit rate
74% (138/187)
ROI
+13%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+40%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+106%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+32%

Track record

74% hit · 146/197

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 4?	No	$20	83.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?	Yes	$10	55.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1?	Yes	$40	76.4¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$20	80.9¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?	Yes	$15	51.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 10?	No	$20	67.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$10	76.0¢	Lost
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?	Yes	$20	74.0¢	Won
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?	No	$20	77.8¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$5	70.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	No	$4	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?	No	$40	69.8¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?	No	$10	49.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?	No	$2	21.5¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$8	62.2¢	Won
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?	Yes	$5	34.0¢	Won
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$20	54.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?	No	$3	72.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 3 at 5 PM ET?	No	$20	89.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$20	89.0¢	Won
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	No	$5	84.7¢	Won
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?	No	$1	85.0¢	Lost
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?	Yes	$40	88.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on June 29 at 5PM ET?	Yes	$10	87.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	$20	66.0¢	Won
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?	No	$15	44.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$39	75.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 6?	No	$25	85.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?	Yes	$20	28.0¢	Won
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	No	$55	69.9¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6?	Yes	$20	78.0¢	Won
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?	No	$20	48.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$7	89.0¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?	Yes	$20	76.0¢	Won
Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$10	68.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$14	79.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$10	76.4¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $109K on July 6 at 5PM ET?	Yes	$5	54.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$10	82.6¢	Lost
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$10	76.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?	Yes	$30	65.0¢	Won
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?	Yes	$50	81.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?	No	$20	74.0¢	Won
Will Trump impose no general tariff on the EU by June 30?	Yes	$20	68.7¢	Lost
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?	No	$20	69.8¢	Won
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?	No	$20	65.0¢	Won
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	No	$5	87.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$20	68.9¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 4?	Yes	$5	50.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $106K before July 14?	No	$20	68.0¢	Won

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on July 4?Won
No$20 @ 83.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?Lost
Yes$10 @ 55.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 1?Won
Yes$40 @ 76.4¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$20 @ 80.9¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Lost
Yes$15 @ 51.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 10?Won
No$20 @ 67.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Lost
No$10 @ 76.0¢
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?Won
Yes$20 @ 74.0¢
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?Won
No$20 @ 77.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
No$5 @ 70.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Won
No$4 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Lost
No$40 @ 69.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Won
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?Won
No$2 @ 21.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$8 @ 62.2¢
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?Won
Yes$5 @ 34.0¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
Yes$20 @ 54.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?Lost
No$3 @ 72.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $103K and $104K on June 3 at 5 PM ET?Won
No$20 @ 89.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
No$20 @ 89.0¢
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Won
No$5 @ 84.7¢
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?Lost
No$1 @ 85.0¢
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?Won
Yes$40 @ 88.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on June 29 at 5PM ET?Won
Yes$10 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Won
No$20 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?Won
No$15 @ 44.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$39 @ 75.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 6?Won
No$25 @ 85.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?Won
Yes$20 @ 28.0¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Won
No$55 @ 69.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 6?Won
Yes$20 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?Won
No$20 @ 48.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$7 @ 89.0¢
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?Won
Yes$20 @ 76.0¢
Colts vs. ChiefsWon
Chiefs$10 @ 68.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$14 @ 79.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$10 @ 76.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $109K on July 6 at 5PM ET?Won
Yes$5 @ 54.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 82.6¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Won
Yes$10 @ 76.0¢
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?Won
Yes$30 @ 65.0¢
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?Won
Yes$50 @ 81.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?Won
No$20 @ 74.0¢
Will Trump impose no general tariff on the EU by June 30?Lost
Yes$20 @ 68.7¢
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?Won
No$20 @ 69.8¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Won
No$20 @ 65.0¢
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Won
No$5 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$20 @ 68.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 4?Won
Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $106K before July 14?Won
No$20 @ 68.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	62.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	64.0¢

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 62.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 64.0¢