← Smart money
0x5825…4ffb
SharpEdge
+2.3pp
ROI
+9%
Win rate
51% @ 48.6¢
Brier
0.214
Resolved
3524
Avg size
$24
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (942/1884) | +11% | 1884 |
| Sports | 50% (22/44) | -21% | 44 |
| Politics | 30% (3/10) | -29% | 10 |
| Geopolitics | 75% (3/4) | +37% | 4 |
- Other1884 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (942/1884)
- ROI
- +11%
- Sports44 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (22/44)
- ROI
- -21%
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (3/10)
- ROI
- -29%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +37%
Track record
50% hit · 970/1942- No$4 @ 25.2¢
- No$6 @ 33.0¢
- No$1 @ 11.0¢
- No$1 @ 12.0¢
- No$85 @ 29.0¢
- No$123 @ 82.0¢
- No$6 @ 26.2¢
- No$7 @ 22.8¢
- No$32 @ 54.0¢
- No$9 @ 82.0¢
- No$116 @ 83.0¢
- No$23 @ 78.0¢
- No$59 @ 38.8¢
- Bernardo Sopaj$135 @ 62.4¢
- Timmy Cuamba$100 @ 33.9¢
- NIP$161 @ 39.9¢
- Lucknow Super Giants$21 @ 45.0¢
- No$49 @ 45.5¢
- USA$12 @ 53.9¢
- Guardians$3 @ 33.0¢
- No$5 @ 32.0¢
- No$21 @ 37.6¢
- No$514 @ 52.7¢
- Mitchell$17 @ 44.0¢
- Nurmagomedov$44 @ 42.9¢
- Sezinando$13 @ 38.0¢
- Phillies$8 @ 58.0¢
- Under$9 @ 17.7¢
- Nuggets$50 @ 67.0¢
- No$42 @ 53.2¢
- Yes$29 @ 32.0¢
- Sabatini$12 @ 70.0¢
- No$105 @ 72.8¢
- 76ers$32 @ 37.0¢
- No$62 @ 77.0¢
- Over$33 @ 44.0¢
- No$12 @ 80.0¢
- Nets$25 @ 23.2¢
- Utah$2 @ 25.0¢
- BNK FEARX$104 @ 68.2¢
- DRX$4 @ 50.0¢
- Under$9 @ 53.0¢
- Team Heretics$19 @ 47.0¢
- No$20 @ 54.2¢
- No$31 @ 75.5¢
- Suns vs. LakersLostLakers$9 @ 39.0¢
- Kings vs. BucksLostBucks$88 @ 71.7¢
- Over$35 @ 63.0¢
- Cardinals$3 @ 40.0¢
- No$12 @ 47.0¢
Recent trades
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Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $245 | 82.2¢ |
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Politics | No | $200 | 32.1¢ |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | No | $146 | 66.1¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $57 | 35.8¢ |
| Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix? | Sports | No | $27 | 84.0¢ |
- No$245 @ 82.2¢
- No$200 @ 32.1¢
- No$146 @ 66.1¢
- No$57 @ 35.8¢
- No$27 @ 84.0¢