← Smart money
0x57cc…882c
SharpEdge
+7.2pp
ROI
+44%
Win rate
14% @ 7.0¢
Brier
0.127
Resolved
1257
Avg size
$59
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 14% (2/14) | +87% | 14 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/10) | -100% | 10 |
| Other | 17% (1/6) | +44% | 6 |
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (2/14)
- ROI
- +87%
- Geopolitics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/10)
- ROI
- -100%
- Other6 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (1/6)
- ROI
- +44%
Track record
10% hit · 3/30- Yes$1.2k @ 23.9¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 10.0¢
- Yes$746 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$547 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$563 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 5.9¢
- Yes$10.7k @ 7.2¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 6.1¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 7.2¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 11.0¢
- Yes$88 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 20.0¢
- Yes$378 @ 21.7¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 4.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 20.5¢
- Yes$215 @ 2.0¢
- No$9 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$195 @ 17.6¢
- Yes$73 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 1.9¢
- No$1.0k @ 5.4¢
- Yes$80 @ 17.7¢
- Yes$11.4k @ 10.8¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 3.4¢
- No$600 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$739 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$6.7k @ 7.8¢
- Yes$5.8k @ 6.2¢
- Yes$14.1k @ 10.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Geopolitics | Yes | $14.1k | 10.1¢ |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Politics | Yes | $11.1k | 10.8¢ |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | Politics | Yes | $6.1k | 4.6¢ |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | Politics | Yes | $5.3k | 5.9¢ |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $5.0k | 6.6¢ |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | Politics | Yes | $3.3k | 3.7¢ |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $2.3k | 9.8¢ |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | Geopolitics | Yes | $1.2k | 23.9¢ |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? | Geopolitics | Yes | $1.2k | 6.1¢ |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Politics | No | $600 | 6.0¢ |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | Geopolitics | Yes | $348 | 26.2¢ |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | Politics | Yes | $60 | 14.0¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | Geopolitics | No | $9 | 0.7¢ |
- Iran full airspace closure by September 30?GeopoliticsYes$14.1k @ 10.1¢
- Yes$11.1k @ 10.8¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 4.6¢
- Yes$5.3k @ 5.9¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 6.6¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 3.7¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 9.8¢
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?GeopoliticsYes$1.2k @ 23.9¢
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?GeopoliticsYes$1.2k @ 6.1¢
- No$600 @ 6.0¢
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?GeopoliticsYes$348 @ 26.2¢
- Yes$60 @ 14.0¢
- No$9 @ 0.7¢