0x57c5…07aa

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x57c5de7efafb020e589f80e0da6e16e9b5c907aa
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.4pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

61% @ 47.1¢

Brier

0.164

Resolved

3432

Avg size

$624

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	53% (255/478)	+18%	478
Politics	63% (19/30)	+44%	30
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other478 bets
Hit rate
53% (255/478)
ROI
+18%
Politics30 bets
Hit rate
63% (19/30)
ROI
+44%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

54% hit · 274/510

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	$3.4k	81.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	$2.3k	38.0¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	$14.2k	71.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$21.8k	71.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	53.0¢	Won
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	30.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	$4.2k	32.0¢	Lost
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House	Yes	$483	3.7¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?	Yes	$154	33.3¢	Lost
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$13.6k	71.4¢	Won
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$13.2k	89.0¢	Won
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	$63.8k	44.5¢	Lost
Will Trump say "hunter" during RNC speech?	No	$2.4k	79.6¢	Won
Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?	Yes	$141	61.9¢	Won
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?	No	$304	4.0¢	Lost
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?	Yes	$19.3k	73.7¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?	No	$23	14.0¢	Lost
Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?	No	$5.2k	83.9¢	Won
Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?	Yes	$261	25.3¢	Won
Will Biden say "Kamala" or "Harris" during drop out speech?	No	$18	19.0¢	Lost
Will the Reconciliation bill receive 217–218 votes?	Yes	$180	62.0¢	Won
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?	No	$161	15.1¢	Lost
Will Trump say Uranium during his Iran address on June 21?	No	$5	25.0¢	Won
Iran strike on Qatar today?	Yes	$3.4k	81.0¢	Won
DNC open convention?	No	$296	69.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "unity" during RNC speech?	Yes	$1.3k	88.0¢	Won
Will JD Vance say "rig" or "rigged" during the debate?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala and Trump both say "democracy" at debate?	Yes	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 12?	No	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will Biden say "Obama" during the debate?	Yes	$1	84.0¢	Lost
CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)	Steel	$472	14.5¢	Lost
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?	No	$585	58.0¢	Lost
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$735	48.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	9.7¢	Lost
Will Behn win TN-07?	No	$263	86.5¢	Won
Will Behn win TN-07?	Yes	$117	16.0¢	Lost
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 26?	Yes	$52	79.3¢	Won
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	$967	31.8¢	Lost
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?	Yes	$1.8k	3.3¢	Lost
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	$1	62.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Michigan rally?	No	$14	49.0¢	Lost
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Michigan rally?	Yes	$2.1k	57.5¢	Won
Will Karoline Leavitt say trans in her next press briefing?	Yes	$32	21.6¢	Lost
Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?	No	$280	25.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?	Yes	$30	10.0¢	Won
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	$452	5.7¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$1.3k	54.3¢	Won
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%	No	$73	63.7¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fox News Oval Office interview?	No	$896	89.6¢	Won
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fox News Oval Office interview?	Yes	$1.7k	76.9¢	Lost

Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?Won
Yes$3.4k @ 81.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 38.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
No$14.2k @ 71.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$21.8k @ 71.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 53.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 30.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Lost
No$4.2k @ 32.0¢
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseLost
Yes$483 @ 3.7¢
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Lost
Yes$154 @ 33.3¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
No$13.6k @ 71.4¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
Yes$13.2k @ 89.0¢
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$63.8k @ 44.5¢
Will Trump say "hunter" during RNC speech?Won
No$2.4k @ 79.6¢
Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?Won
Yes$141 @ 61.9¢
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?Lost
No$304 @ 4.0¢
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?Won
Yes$19.3k @ 73.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Lost
No$23 @ 14.0¢
Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?Won
No$5.2k @ 83.9¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Won
Yes$261 @ 25.3¢
Will Biden say "Kamala" or "Harris" during drop out speech?Lost
No$18 @ 19.0¢
Will the Reconciliation bill receive 217–218 votes?Won
Yes$180 @ 62.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Lost
No$161 @ 15.1¢
Will Trump say Uranium during his Iran address on June 21?Won
No$5 @ 25.0¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Won
Yes$3.4k @ 81.0¢
DNC open convention?Won
No$296 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump say "unity" during RNC speech?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 88.0¢
Will JD Vance say "rig" or "rigged" during the debate?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Kamala and Trump both say "democracy" at debate?Won
Yes$45 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 12?Lost
No$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Biden say "Obama" during the debate?Lost
Yes$1 @ 84.0¢
CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R)Lost
Steel$472 @ 14.5¢
GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?Lost
No$585 @ 58.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$735 @ 48.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 9.7¢
Will Behn win TN-07?Won
No$263 @ 86.5¢
Will Behn win TN-07?Lost
Yes$117 @ 16.0¢
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 26?Won
Yes$52 @ 79.3¢
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Lost
Yes$967 @ 31.8¢
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Lost
Yes$1.8k @ 3.3¢
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
No$1 @ 62.0¢
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Michigan rally?Lost
No$14 @ 49.0¢
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Michigan rally?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 57.5¢
Will Karoline Leavitt say trans in her next press briefing?Lost
Yes$32 @ 21.6¢
Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?Lost
No$280 @ 25.0¢
Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?Won
Yes$30 @ 10.0¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
No$452 @ 5.7¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 54.3¢
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%Lost
No$73 @ 63.7¢
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fox News Oval Office interview?Won
No$896 @ 89.6¢
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fox News Oval Office interview?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 76.9¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$21.8k	71.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$14.9k	71.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$4.2k	32.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$3.4k	81.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.3k	38.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	30.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	53.0¢

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$21.8k @ 71.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$14.9k @ 71.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
No$4.2k @ 32.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?Politics
Yes$3.4k @ 81.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.3k @ 38.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 30.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 53.0¢