0x5754…e515

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other1420 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (583/1420)

  ROI

  +1%

• Sports87 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (29/87)

  ROI

  +14%

• Politics43 bets

  Hit rate

  30% (13/43)

  ROI

  +11%

• Geopolitics9 bets

  Hit rate

  22% (2/9)

  ROI

  -42%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +35%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +237%

• Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
• Blues vs. IslandersLost
  Islanders$260 @ 56.0¢
• Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesLost
  Baltimore Orioles$102 @ 19.0¢
• Bengals vs. VikingsLost
  Bengals$150 @ 39.0¢
• Yoon arrested before September?Lost
  No$250 @ 25.0¢
• Lily Phillips has sex with between 250-499 men in a day?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 2.0¢
• GPT ads by December 31?Lost
  Yes$117 @ 12.5¢
• Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?Won
  No$896 @ 89.6¢
• Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?Lost
  Yes$67 @ 3.0¢
• Will Trump say "Governor" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7?Lost
  No$43 @ 45.0¢
• Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Won
  Yes$15 @ 85.0¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
  No$11.9k @ 79.9¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 13.1¢
• Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?Won
  Yes$222 @ 26.8¢
• Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?Lost
  Yes$800 @ 55.4¢
• Saints vs. SeahawksLost
  Saints$124 @ 8.1¢
• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
  Yes$1.5k @ 86.0¢
• Will Biden say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during farewell address? Lost
  Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
• No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
  Yes$1.2k @ 43.9¢
• Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Lost
  No$1.1k @ 38.3¢
• Bengals vs. DolphinsLost
  Dolphins$409 @ 24.0¢
• Will Trump say 'Russia' 3+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Won
  Yes$176 @ 58.7¢
• Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Lost
  No$50 @ 25.0¢
• Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Won
  Yes$447 @ 70.0¢
• Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 15.0¢
• Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?Won
  Yes$100 @ 55.0¢
• Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washington: O/U 51.5Won
  Over$330 @ 50.0¢
• Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washington: O/U 51.5Lost
  Under$300 @ 51.0¢
• Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Lost
  No$1.3k @ 31.1¢
• TikTok sale announced by September 30?Lost
  Yes$3.0k @ 25.8¢
• Trump meets with Carney before June?Lost
  No$46 @ 9.2¢
• 49ers vs. FalconsWon
  Falcons$215 @ 22.0¢
• Will Trump nominate Dan Brouillette for Energy Secretary?Won
  No$132 @ 62.3¢
• Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Lost
  No$198 @ 33.0¢
• Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?Lost
  No$553 @ 66.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Lost
  Yes$3.1k @ 48.7¢
• U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?Won
  No$209 @ 33.4¢
• Will Trump say 'NATO' during the 2025 State of the Union?Won
  No$415 @ 31.5¢
• Will Trump say "Space Force" during his 4th of July remarks?Won
  No$410 @ 88.6¢
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?Won
  No$1.0k @ 85.5¢
• Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 60.7¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Lost
  Yes$250 @ 65.0¢
• Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1?Lost
  Yes$66 @ 9.4¢
• Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
  No$100 @ 4.9¢
• Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
  Yes$2.7k @ 42.9¢
• Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 75m-100m views on day 1?Won
  No$1.8k @ 81.6¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
  No$2.7k @ 50.3¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Lost
  Yes$4.8k @ 41.2¢
• Falcons vs. SaintsLost
  Saints$320 @ 53.0¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Won
  Yes$296 @ 24.9¢

Current positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$17.5k @ 50.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  No$17.5k @ 50.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$3.3k @ 56.2¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$2.4k @ 47.5¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$1.7k @ 77.0¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$1000 @ 63.0¢
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$611 @ 3.8¢
• Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics
  No$374 @ 17.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$330 @ 16.7¢
• Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$210 @ 18.9¢
• Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$91 @ 1.5¢
• Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$50 @ 11.0¢
• Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
  Yes$50 @ 9.0¢