0x5742…227e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x57423329f9aa34a752ffc0a8ec169c0ff72f227e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.2pp

ROI

+30%

Win rate

51% @ 32.2¢

Brier

0.186

Resolved

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	50% (34/68)	+39%	68
Science	46% (6/13)	-9%	13
Politics	60% (3/5)	-21%	5
Other	20% (1/5)	-73%	5
Culture	20% (1/5)	+162%	5
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+79%	1

Sports68 bets
Hit rate
50% (34/68)
ROI
+39%
Science13 bets
Hit rate
46% (6/13)
ROI
-9%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-21%
Other5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-73%
Culture5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
+162%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+79%

Track record

47% hit · 46/98

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 25?	No	$18	88.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 25?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 24?	No	$19	89.0¢	Won
Longford Town FC vs. University College Dublin: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	47.0¢	Won
Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$4	35.0¢	Won
Yeovil Town FC vs. Altrincham FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$5	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 24?	Yes	$2	13.0¢	Lost
FC Okzhetpes vs. FC Kaspiy Aktau: FC Kaspiy Aktau O/U 0.5	Under	$5	36.0¢	Won
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs. Tobol Kostanay: Zhetysu Taldykorgan O/U 1.5	Over	$5	41.0¢	Lost
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs. Tobol Kostanay: Tobol Kostanay O/U 1.5	Under	$5	57.0¢	Won
FC Okzhetpes vs. FC Kaspiy Aktau: Both Teams to Score	No	$4	45.0¢	Won
Will Tobol Kostanay win on 2026-10-24?	No	$5	63.0¢	Won
FC Okzhetpes vs. FC Kaspiy Aktau: FC Okzhetpes O/U 1.5	Over	$5	55.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2 - 1 Tobol Kostanay?	Yes	$5	8.0¢	Lost
Will FC Okzhetpes vs. FC Kaspiy Aktau end in a draw?	No	$5	76.0¢	Won
Will FC Okzhetpes win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$5	58.0¢	Won
Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Nikoloz Basilashvili	$3	29.0¢	Won
Spread: Changchun Yatai (-1.5)	Changchun Yatai	$5	38.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 23?	No	$11	99.9¢	Won
Portland Thorns FC vs. North Carolina Courage: O/U 3.5	Over	$5	44.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 23?	Yes	$5	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	$22	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 22?	No	$54	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 23?	Yes	$6	27.0¢	Lost
Shamrock Rovers leading at halftime?	Yes	$5	65.0¢	Won
ASD Pineto Calcio vs. AS Gubbio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	$5	51.0¢	Won
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	$5	40.0¢	Lost
Stade Brestois 29 vs. OGC Nice: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	$5	62.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C or below on October 23?	No	$7	99.9¢	Won
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-23?	No	$5	53.0¢	Won
FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$5	53.0¢	Lost
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Novi Pazar: FK Radnicki Nis O/U 1.5	Over	$5	42.0¢	Lost
Will FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Radnik Surdulica end in a draw?	Yes	$5	30.0¢	Lost
FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: FK Radnik Surdulica O/U 0.5	Over	$5	62.0¢	Lost
Will FK Radnik Surdulica win on 2026-10-23?	No	$5	82.0¢	Won
FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac O/U 1.5	Over	$5	51.0¢	Lost
FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: O/U 1.5	Over	$5	75.0¢	Lost
Will Gabala FK win on 2026-10-23?	No	$5	68.0¢	Lost
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5	Under	$2	27.0¢	Won
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$5	36.0¢	Lost
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance	Estudiantes de La Plata	$5	20.0¢	Won
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 2 - 1 Estudiantes de La Plata?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Lost
Will Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto end in a draw?	Yes	$2	17.0¢	Lost
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC vs. Cruz Azul Hidalgo: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Under	$5	25.0¢	Lost
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	CR Flamengo	$5	51.0¢	Lost
Kings vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5	Over	$5	50.0¢	Lost
AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	$5	31.0¢	Lost
Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 3.5 Corners	Over	$5	56.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 25?Lost
No$18 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 24?Won
No$19 @ 89.0¢
Longford Town FC vs. University College Dublin: O/U 2.5Won
Under$5 @ 47.0¢
Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-10-24?Won
Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
Yeovil Town FC vs. Altrincham FC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$5 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 24?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 24?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
FC Okzhetpes vs. FC Kaspiy Aktau: FC Kaspiy Aktau O/U 0.5Won
Under$5 @ 36.0¢
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs. Tobol Kostanay: Zhetysu Taldykorgan O/U 1.5Lost
Over$5 @ 41.0¢
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs. Tobol Kostanay: Tobol Kostanay O/U 1.5Won
Under$5 @ 57.0¢
FC Okzhetpes vs. FC Kaspiy Aktau: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$4 @ 45.0¢
Will Tobol Kostanay win on 2026-10-24?Won
No$5 @ 63.0¢
FC Okzhetpes vs. FC Kaspiy Aktau: FC Okzhetpes O/U 1.5Won
Over$5 @ 55.0¢
Exact Score: Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2 - 1 Tobol Kostanay?Lost
Yes$5 @ 8.0¢
Will FC Okzhetpes vs. FC Kaspiy Aktau end in a draw?Won
No$5 @ 76.0¢
Will FC Okzhetpes win on 2026-10-24?Won
Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos TsitsipasWon
Nikoloz Basilashvili$3 @ 29.0¢
Spread: Changchun Yatai (-1.5)Won
Changchun Yatai$5 @ 38.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 23?Won
No$11 @ 99.9¢
Portland Thorns FC vs. North Carolina Courage: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$5 @ 44.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 23?Lost
Yes$5 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 22?Won
Yes$22 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 22?Won
No$54 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 23?Lost
Yes$6 @ 27.0¢
Shamrock Rovers leading at halftime?Won
Yes$5 @ 65.0¢
ASD Pineto Calcio vs. AS Gubbio: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-1.5)Won
Al Ahli Saudi Club$5 @ 51.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group StageLost
G2 Esports$5 @ 40.0¢
Stade Brestois 29 vs. OGC Nice: O/U 10.5 Total CornersWon
Under$5 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C or below on October 23?Won
No$7 @ 99.9¢
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-23?Won
No$5 @ 53.0¢
FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Novi Pazar: FK Radnicki Nis O/U 1.5Lost
Over$5 @ 42.0¢
Will FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Radnik Surdulica end in a draw?Lost
Yes$5 @ 30.0¢
FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: FK Radnik Surdulica O/U 0.5Lost
Over$5 @ 62.0¢
Will FK Radnik Surdulica win on 2026-10-23?Won
No$5 @ 82.0¢
FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac O/U 1.5Lost
Over$5 @ 51.0¢
FK Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs. FK Radnik Surdulica: O/U 1.5Lost
Over$5 @ 75.0¢
Will Gabala FK win on 2026-10-23?Lost
No$5 @ 68.0¢
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Won
Under$2 @ 27.0¢
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to AdvanceWon
Estudiantes de La Plata$5 @ 20.0¢
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 2 - 1 Estudiantes de La Plata?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Will Atlético Nacional vs. AD Pasto end in a draw?Lost
Yes$2 @ 17.0¢
Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC vs. Cruz Azul Hidalgo: 1st Half O/U 0.5Lost
Under$5 @ 25.0¢
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)Lost
CR Flamengo$5 @ 51.0¢
Kings vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$5 @ 50.0¢
AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 10.5 Total CornersLost
Over$5 @ 31.0¢
Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: Crystal Palace FC O/U 3.5 CornersLost
Over$5 @ 56.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$109	42.9¢
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Culture	No	$109	98.4¢
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Sports	No	$72	84.9¢
Will Garrett Wilson have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	Yes	$55	91.0¢
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	No	$41	81.0¢
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	No	$41	82.2¢
Will La Bola Negra win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?	Culture	No	$27	66.7¢
Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?	Tech	No	$20	90.0¢
Will Copenhagen finish the UECL league phase with the best goal differential?	Sports	No	$20	93.0¢
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027?	Politics	No	$19	90.0¢
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	Yes	$19	94.0¢
Will Matthew Stafford be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Sports	No	$19	92.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 25?	Science	No	$18	88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Science	No	$18	87.0¢
Will Michael Pittman Jr. have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	Yes	$18	90.0¢
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Culture	Yes	$17	83.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-03 House election by 35% or more?	Politics	No	$17	82.9¢
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Tech	No	$17	87.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 10%-15%?	Politics	No	$17	82.0¢
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$17	81.0¢
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Sports	Yes	$17	79.8¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?	Politics	No	$16	76.3¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 MLS Golden Boot?	Sports	No	$16	74.0¢
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?	Tech	No	$15	73.0¢
Will Bo Nix have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Sports	Yes	$15	73.0¢
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?	Business	No	$14	67.0¢
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?	Sports	No	$14	71.0¢
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Tech	Yes	$14	66.0¢
Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Sports	No	$13	63.0¢
Will Braga finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?	Sports	No	$13	60.0¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$109 @ 42.9¢
Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture
No$109 @ 98.4¢
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Sports
No$72 @ 84.9¢
Will Garrett Wilson have 799.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
Yes$55 @ 91.0¢
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
No$41 @ 81.0¢
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
No$41 @ 82.2¢
Will La Bola Negra win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
No$27 @ 66.7¢
Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?Tech
No$20 @ 90.0¢
Will Copenhagen finish the UECL league phase with the best goal differential?Sports
No$20 @ 93.0¢
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2027?Politics
No$19 @ 90.0¢
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
Yes$19 @ 94.0¢
Will Matthew Stafford be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?Sports
No$19 @ 92.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 25?Science
No$18 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?Science
No$18 @ 87.0¢
Will Michael Pittman Jr. have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
Yes$18 @ 90.0¢
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?Culture
Yes$17 @ 83.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-03 House election by 35% or more?Politics
No$17 @ 82.9¢
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Tech
No$17 @ 87.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 10%-15%?Politics
No$17 @ 82.0¢
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$17 @ 81.0¢
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Sports
Yes$17 @ 79.8¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Politics
No$16 @ 76.3¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 MLS Golden Boot?Sports
No$16 @ 74.0¢
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?Tech
No$15 @ 73.0¢
Will Bo Nix have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Sports
Yes$15 @ 73.0¢
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Business
No$14 @ 67.0¢
Will Texas Tech Red Raiders Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?Sports
No$14 @ 71.0¢
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Tech
Yes$14 @ 66.0¢
Will Crystal Palace be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Sports
No$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Braga finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?Sports
No$13 @ 60.0¢