0x572c…4360

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x572cf414b8f9cd696ccc69a76957d4695b7b4360
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.9pp

ROI

+23%

Win rate

59% @ 53.2¢

Brier

0.178

Resolved

384

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	65% (53/81)	+39%	81
Politics	61% (33/54)	+21%	54
Geopolitics	64% (9/14)	-41%	14
Economy	64% (9/14)	-7%	14
Crypto	57% (4/7)	+83%	7
Tech	100% (6/6)	+6%	6
Sports	50% (2/4)	+60%	4
Culture	100% (1/1)	+1%	1

Other81 bets
Hit rate
65% (53/81)
ROI
+39%
Politics54 bets
Hit rate
61% (33/54)
ROI
+21%
Geopolitics14 bets
Hit rate
64% (9/14)
ROI
-41%
Economy14 bets
Hit rate
64% (9/14)
ROI
-7%
Crypto7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
+83%
Tech6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+6%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
+60%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1%

Track record

65% hit · 117/181

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	Yes	$12	38.0¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 21?	No	$9	97.8¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 21?	No	$15	97.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?	Yes	$12	88.9¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?	No	$2	97.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	$3	85.6¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 21?	Yes	$2	83.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	$12	41.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 14-20?	No	$6	78.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $90 September 14-20?	No	$2	80.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 20?	No	$2	95.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 14-20?	No	$1	89.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?	Yes	$1	49.3¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$2	64.5¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 19?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$3	87.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	21.8¢	Lost
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during July Press Conference?	No	$2	69.0¢	Won
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Lost
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$2	15.4¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$1	21.0¢	Won
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	$2	39.5¢	Lost
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Yes	$5	49.5¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	16.8¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	39.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$1	80.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$2	23.5¢	Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$1	68.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Lost
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?	No	$1	2.6¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$2	85.3¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$1	21.1¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	87.5¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$1	59.6¢	Won
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	$2	40.7¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	65.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	12.2¢	Lost
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	$5	35.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 19?	No	$2	34.4¢	Lost
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in July?	Yes	$1	83.0¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$8	67.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$8	40.0¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$1	71.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?	Yes	$12	82.2¢	Won
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	$2	60.9¢	Won
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	$2	89.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?	No	$2	68.6¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	$4	67.2¢	Won

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?Won
Yes$12 @ 38.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 21?Won
No$9 @ 97.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 21?Lost
No$15 @ 97.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21?Won
Yes$12 @ 88.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?Lost
No$2 @ 97.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?Won
No$3 @ 85.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 21?Won
Yes$2 @ 83.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Won
Yes$12 @ 41.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 14-20?Won
No$6 @ 78.0¢
Will Solana dip to $90 September 14-20?Won
No$2 @ 80.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 20?Won
No$2 @ 95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 14-20?Won
No$1 @ 89.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?Won
Yes$1 @ 49.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Won
Yes$2 @ 64.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 19?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$3 @ 87.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 21.8¢
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during July Press Conference?Won
No$2 @ 69.0¢
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Won
No$2 @ 15.4¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Won
Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Lost
No$2 @ 39.5¢
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Won
Yes$5 @ 49.5¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.5¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Lost
Yes$1 @ 68.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Lost
No$1 @ 2.6¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$2 @ 85.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 21.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Won
Yes$1 @ 87.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 59.6¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Lost
Yes$2 @ 40.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1 @ 65.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.2¢
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 35.8¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 19?Lost
No$2 @ 34.4¢
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in July?Won
Yes$1 @ 83.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Lost
No$8 @ 67.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Won
Yes$8 @ 40.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
Yes$1 @ 71.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?Won
Yes$12 @ 82.2¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Won
Yes$2 @ 60.9¢
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Won
Yes$2 @ 89.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Won
No$2 @ 68.6¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Won
No$4 @ 67.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Solana reach $120 in September?	Crypto	Yes	$63	53.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$50	91.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	Crypto	No	$21	87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$14	93.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tech	No	$10	28.8¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$7	92.7¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$6	26.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23?	Crypto	No	$5	98.3¢
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Economy	No	$5	96.3¢
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	Tech	No	$4	60.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?	Crypto	Yes	$3	96.8¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?	Politics	No	$3	97.7¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	Politics	No	$3	97.4¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$3	94.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?	Crypto	Yes	$3	15.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Politics	No	$3	96.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 22?	Crypto	Yes	$3	64.0¢
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 24?	Crypto	Yes	$2	35.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25?	Crypto	Yes	$2	95.0¢
Databricks IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$1	92.7¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$1	80.0¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?	Politics	No	$1	98.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Politics	No	$1	87.3¢
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	Politics	No	$1	93.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1	83.0¢
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$1	91.0¢
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	Sports	No	$1	54.6¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Politics	No	$1	63.0¢
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	Economy	Yes	$1	56.0¢
Discord IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$1	37.0¢

Will Solana reach $120 in September?Crypto
Yes$63 @ 53.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$50 @ 91.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?Crypto
No$21 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$14 @ 93.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech
No$10 @ 28.8¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
No$7 @ 92.7¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Business
No$6 @ 26.4¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23?Crypto
No$5 @ 98.3¢
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy
No$5 @ 96.3¢
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech
No$4 @ 60.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?Crypto
Yes$3 @ 96.8¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Politics
No$3 @ 97.7¢
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?Politics
No$3 @ 97.4¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$3 @ 94.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?Crypto
Yes$3 @ 15.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Politics
No$3 @ 96.6¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 22?Crypto
Yes$3 @ 64.0¢
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on September 24?Crypto
Yes$2 @ 35.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 25?Crypto
Yes$2 @ 95.0¢
Databricks IPO before 2027?Business
No$1 @ 92.7¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?Politics
No$1 @ 98.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 87.3¢
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
No$1 @ 93.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Business
No$1 @ 91.0¢
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Sports
No$1 @ 54.6¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 63.0¢
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Economy
Yes$1 @ 56.0¢
Discord IPO before 2027?Business
No$1 @ 37.0¢