← Smart money
0x5683…b8bf
SharpEdge
+22.3pp
ROI
+20%
Win rate
95% @ 72.8¢
Brier
0.091
Resolved
83
Avg size
$76
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 75% (6/8) | +18% | 8 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | +25% | 2 |
- Other8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- +18%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +25%
Track record
70% hit · 7/10| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | $200 | 63.0¢ | Won |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Yes | $41 | 81.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? | Yes | $998 | 75.0¢ | Won |
| Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Yes | $201 | 71.7¢ | Won |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | Yes | $1.7k | 78.3¢ | Won |
| Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand? | Yes | $78 | 71.0¢ | Won |
| Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | Yes | $100 | 36.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | Yes | $22 | 21.0¢ | Lost |
| Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary? | No | $700 | 86.7¢ | Won |
| Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils? | Yes | $2.3k | 89.0¢ | Won |
- Yes$200 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$998 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$201 @ 71.7¢
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?WonYes$1.7k @ 78.3¢
- Yes$78 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 21.0¢
- No$700 @ 86.7¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 89.0¢
Recent trades
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