← Smart money
0x5647…de1d
SharpEdge
-9.7pp
ROI
+86%
Win rate
19% @ 29.1¢
Brier
0.169
Resolved
139
Avg size
$18
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 25% (50/197) | -14% | 197 |
| Science | 38% (15/39) | +38% | 39 |
| Sports | 14% (4/29) | +81% | 29 |
| Politics | 17% (2/12) | -55% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other197 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (50/197)
- ROI
- -14%
- Science39 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (15/39)
- ROI
- +38%
- Sports29 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (4/29)
- ROI
- +81%
- Politics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 17% (2/12)
- ROI
- -55%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
25% hit · 71/281- Yes$10 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 23.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 32.9¢
- Yes$290 @ 34.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 85.7¢
- Yes$409 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 29.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 35.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 26.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 23.7¢
- Yes$695 @ 25.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$143 @ 13.5¢
- Yes$42 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$109 @ 7.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 25.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 83.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 24.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 33.6¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Politics | No | $110 | 6.0¢ |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | Science | Yes | $50 | 7.4¢ |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | Politics | Yes | $30 | 6.0¢ |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $30 | 11.0¢ |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Politics | Yes | $18 | 1.2¢ |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.5¢ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 44.9¢ |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Crypto | Yes | $2 | 37.0¢ |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 35.0¢ |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 28.0¢ |
- No$110 @ 6.0¢
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? ScienceYes$50 @ 7.4¢
- Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 44.9¢
- Yes$2 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 28.0¢