0x5606…9bd7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x56069ed26e07a1c87f755c88ab7305fbc5539bd7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.6pp

ROI

+42%

Win rate

53% @ 40.5¢

Brier

0.206

Resolved

561

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	49% (47/95)	+24%	95
Sports	77% (33/43)	+42%	43
Politics	10% (1/10)	+8%	10
Tech	25% (1/4)	-49%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other95 bets
Hit rate
49% (47/95)
ROI
+24%
Sports43 bets
Hit rate
77% (33/43)
ROI
+42%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
10% (1/10)
ROI
+8%
Tech4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-49%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

53% hit · 82/154

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Cadillac get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	No	$179	99.9¢	Won
Will Racing Bulls have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$5	98.0¢	Won
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$10	99.0¢	Won
Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$10	99.0¢	Won
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$155	99.8¢	Won
Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$177	99.8¢	Won
Will Cadillac have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$22	98.8¢	Won
Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$5	99.9¢	Won
Will Lance Stroll win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$155	99.8¢	Won
Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$131	99.7¢	Won
Will Aston Martin have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$5	98.0¢	Won
Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$5	99.9¢	Won
Will Williams get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$17	99.0¢	Won
Will Aston Martin get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$17	99.0¢	Won
Will Cadillac get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	$17	99.0¢	Won
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$15	35.5¢	Lost
Will Vance say "Crazy" during his Rocky Mount visit?	Yes	$5	75.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$48	30.6¢	Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$42	28.2¢	Lost
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$2	21.0¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$6	68.0¢	Lost
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	2.7¢	Lost
Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	$16	64.0¢	Won
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	$3	63.0¢	Won
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	$3	38.0¢	Lost
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?	Yes	$1	86.0¢	Won
Will the US strike Cuba next?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$7	51.9¢	Lost
Will Vance say "Epic Fury" during his Rocky Mount visit?	Yes	$7	32.0¢	Lost
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	1.7¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$45	15.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	$10	49.5¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Team Falcons	$31	17.3¢	Lost
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	$0	2.7¢	Lost
Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?	Yes	$36	24.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$2	22.4¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4?	Yes	$6	57.0¢	Lost
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$3	55.0¢	Won
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$122	28.8¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$2	3.6¢	Lost
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?	No	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$1	66.8¢	Won
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	$21	4.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	Yes	$2	4.0¢	Lost
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$1	3.8¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	$93	31.7¢	Lost
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	$2	2.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 11?	No	$4	89.5¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$6	12.2¢	Lost

Will Cadillac get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Won
No$179 @ 99.9¢
Will Racing Bulls have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$5 @ 98.0¢
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$10 @ 99.0¢
Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$10 @ 99.0¢
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$155 @ 99.8¢
Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$177 @ 99.8¢
Will Cadillac have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$22 @ 98.8¢
Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$5 @ 99.9¢
Will Lance Stroll win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$155 @ 99.8¢
Will Alexander Albon win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$131 @ 99.7¢
Will Aston Martin have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$5 @ 98.0¢
Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$5 @ 99.9¢
Will Williams get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$17 @ 99.0¢
Will Aston Martin get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$17 @ 99.0¢
Will Cadillac get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?Won
No$17 @ 99.0¢
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$15 @ 35.5¢
Will Vance say "Crazy" during his Rocky Mount visit?Won
Yes$5 @ 75.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
Yes$48 @ 30.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$42 @ 28.2¢
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?Won
No$2 @ 21.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 68.0¢
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.7¢
Will "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Won
Yes$16 @ 64.0¢
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Won
Gold$3 @ 63.0¢
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 38.0¢
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?Won
Yes$1 @ 86.0¢
Will the US strike Cuba next?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$7 @ 51.9¢
Will Vance say "Epic Fury" during his Rocky Mount visit?Lost
Yes$7 @ 32.0¢
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$45 @ 15.0¢
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Won
Yes$10 @ 49.5¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsLost
Team Falcons$31 @ 17.3¢
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.7¢
Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?Lost
Yes$36 @ 24.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 22.4¢
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4?Lost
Yes$6 @ 57.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Won
Yes$122 @ 28.8¢
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.6¢
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Lost
No$1 @ 16.0¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Won
No$1 @ 66.8¢
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Lost
Yes$21 @ 4.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.8¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Lost
GamerLegion$93 @ 31.7¢
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Lost
Yes$2 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 11?Won
No$4 @ 89.5¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$6 @ 12.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$573	99.6¢
Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$516	99.8¢
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$45	99.7¢
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Sports	No	$36	99.6¢

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$573 @ 99.6¢
Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?Sports
No$516 @ 99.8¢
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
Yes$45 @ 99.7¢
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
No$36 @ 99.6¢