← Smart money
0x55f3…cada
SharpEdge
+5.2pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
76% @ 70.7¢
Brier
0.146
Resolved
626
Avg size
$405
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 64% (49/77) | +7% | 77 |
| Politics | 71% (10/14) | +12% | 14 |
| Sports | 71% (5/7) | -4% | 7 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +18% | 1 |
- Other77 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (49/77)
- ROI
- +7%
- Politics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (10/14)
- ROI
- +12%
- Sports7 bets
- Hit rate
- 71% (5/7)
- ROI
- -4%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +18%
Track record
66% hit · 65/99- Yes$62 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 81.1¢
- Yes$510 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 54.1¢
- No$2.7k @ 71.7¢
- Yes$918 @ 54.2¢
- No$54 @ 2.9¢
- No$216 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$240 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$521 @ 39.8¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 68.0¢
- Yes$215 @ 68.3¢
- Yes$6.4k @ 84.0¢
- No$502 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 0.8¢
- No$1.4k @ 88.8¢
- Yes$102 @ 31.2¢
- Yes$106 @ 7.5¢
- No$2.1k @ 82.0¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 81.5¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 65.7¢
- No$385 @ 56.0¢
- No$600 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 78.4¢
- No$1.5k @ 69.7¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 47.0¢
- Yes$1000 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 51.0¢
- Yes$301 @ 86.0¢
- No$25.2k @ 78.6¢
- Yes$499 @ 87.0¢
- No$11.5k @ 79.2¢
- Yes$551 @ 88.4¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 65.9¢
- Yes$860 @ 83.8¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 80.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 87.1¢
- Yes$1000 @ 65.7¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 43.6¢
- No$4.7k @ 82.0¢
- Yes$436 @ 51.2¢
- Yes$902 @ 76.2¢
- No$149 @ 6.4¢
- Yes$308 @ 77.5¢
- Mamdani$2.4k @ 87.7¢
- Yes$454 @ 86.2¢
- No$7.0k @ 78.4¢
- Yes$349 @ 82.0¢
- No$2.2k @ 87.9¢
- Yes$553 @ 44.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $47.2k | 84.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $8.2k | 81.7¢ |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Sports | No | $6.3k | 78.7¢ |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $5.0k | 3.8¢ |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $4.9k | 75.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $4.0k | 64.8¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $2.5k | 55.3¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $792 | 52.8¢ |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $641 | 36.9¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $405 | 27.0¢ |
- Yes$47.2k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$8.2k @ 81.7¢
- No$6.3k @ 78.7¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 3.8¢
- Yes$4.9k @ 75.0¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 64.8¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 55.3¢
- Yes$792 @ 52.8¢
- Yes$641 @ 36.9¢
- Yes$405 @ 27.0¢