← Smart money
0x55e2…5fc9
ProfitableEdge
-9.9pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
26% @ 35.7¢
Brier
0.129
Resolved
829
Avg size
$381
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 47% (44/94) | +10% | 94 |
| Sports | 50% (12/24) | +0% | 24 |
| Crypto | 44% (4/9) | -21% | 9 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +30% | 1 |
- Other94 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (44/94)
- ROI
- +10%
- Sports24 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (12/24)
- ROI
- +0%
- Crypto9 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (4/9)
- ROI
- -21%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +30%
Track record
48% hit · 61/128- Yes$5.8k @ 88.6¢
- No$1.3k @ 85.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$192 @ 77.3¢
- Yes$786 @ 3.2¢
- No$3 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$8.2k @ 40.9¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 59.3¢
- No$1.8k @ 15.7¢
- No$31 @ 74.6¢
- No$2.9k @ 49.0¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 14.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$242 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$13.6k @ 68.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
- No$1.0k @ 23.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 59.4¢
- Yes$861 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$6.7k @ 40.8¢
- No$8 @ 80.0¢
- No$200 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 76.9¢
- No$1.6k @ 73.0¢
- Will Ismaïla Sarr record the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?WonNo$26 @ 39.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
- No$8.5k @ 85.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 75.8¢
- Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?LostYes$100 @ 0.1¢
- No$2.1k @ 77.0¢
- No$36 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 33.3¢
- Yes$4.7k @ 36.5¢
- No$5.1k @ 89.0¢
- No$49 @ 35.4¢
- No$24.1k @ 58.3¢
- Yes$7.5k @ 58.4¢
- Over$178 @ 53.9¢
- Yes$22.2k @ 87.0¢
- No$512 @ 60.0¢
- No$925 @ 43.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$11.1k @ 30.9¢
- No$4.2k @ 34.8¢
- Yes$856 @ 13.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$2.7k @ 82.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | Crypto | Yes | $15.3k | 84.7¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | Crypto | Yes | $2.0k | 40.2¢ |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $857 | 36.8¢ |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | Politics | Yes | $702 | 4.5¢ |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | Sports | No | $220 | 31.0¢ |
| Will Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027? | Crypto | No | $87 | 68.5¢ |
| Will Cap dip to $0.015 before 2027? | Crypto | No | $60 | 69.4¢ |
| Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | Sports | Yes | $47 | 6.8¢ |
| Will Netherlands win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | Sports | Yes | $11 | 1.3¢ |
- Yes$15.3k @ 84.7¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 40.2¢
- Yes$857 @ 36.8¢
- Yes$702 @ 4.5¢
- No$220 @ 31.0¢
- No$87 @ 68.5¢
- No$60 @ 69.4¢
- Yes$47 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$11 @ 1.3¢