← Smart money
0x557e…5007
SharpEdge
+13.7pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
61% @ 47.4¢
Brier
0.219
Resolved
439
Avg size
$70
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 57% (27/47) | +8% | 47 |
| Other | 44% (14/32) | +20% | 32 |
| Politics | 33% (4/12) | +36% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +122% | 1 |
- Sports47 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (27/47)
- ROI
- +8%
- Other32 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (14/32)
- ROI
- +20%
- Politics12 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (4/12)
- ROI
- +36%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +122%
Track record
50% hit · 46/92- Over$512 @ 39.0¢
- Under$328 @ 56.0¢
- Over$411 @ 24.9¢
- Over$307 @ 70.8¢
- Over$143 @ 58.0¢
- No$1 @ 0.4¢
- Under$51 @ 59.5¢
- Over$408 @ 62.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$450 @ 45.0¢
- Over$11 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 11.2¢
- Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
- No$55 @ 60.8¢
- No$54 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 25.0¢
- Over$31 @ 65.7¢
- No$2 @ 20.0¢
- Germany$713 @ 54.0¢
- Mexico$188 @ 37.0¢
- No$174 @ 66.3¢
- Senegal$26 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 28.0¢
- Over$1.0k @ 50.1¢
- Over$1.1k @ 51.1¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 79.1¢
- Yes$67 @ 45.0¢
- Over$37 @ 41.7¢
- Over$559 @ 29.4¢
- ex-MANA eSports$13 @ 64.7¢
- Yes$32 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 22.0¢
- Over$90 @ 53.0¢
- No$57 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$235 @ 54.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- Over$2 @ 32.0¢
- Under$3 @ 50.0¢
- Over$29 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 42.0¢
- Over$3 @ 53.0¢
- Under$4 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
- Over$1.9k @ 67.0¢
- No$105 @ 26.3¢
- Senegal$802 @ 61.7¢
- Yes$710 @ 65.4¢
- Under$82 @ 37.2¢
- Under$6 @ 84.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | — | Yes | $127 | 42.2¢ |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Politics | Yes | $31 | 2.4¢ |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | — | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ |
- Yes$127 @ 42.2¢
- Yes$31 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 9.0¢