← Smart money
0x5565…4b3b
SharpEdge
+5.1pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
30% @ 24.7¢
Brier
0.142
Resolved
396
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 49% (86/176) | +11% | 176 |
| Science | 53% (21/40) | -9% | 40 |
| Politics | 86% (6/7) | +12% | 7 |
| Crypto | 100% (4/4) | +15% | 4 |
- Other176 bets
- Hit rate
- 49% (86/176)
- ROI
- +11%
- Science40 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (21/40)
- ROI
- -9%
- Politics7 bets
- Hit rate
- 86% (6/7)
- ROI
- +12%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +15%
Track record
52% hit · 117/227- No$4 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 26.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 58.0¢
- No$8 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 20.3¢
- No$6 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.2¢
- No$7 @ 75.0¢
- No$5 @ 74.0¢
- No$5 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- No$6 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 15.1¢
- No$4 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$7 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 68.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.4¢
- No$5 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 4.3¢
- No$8 @ 64.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 30.3¢
- No$3 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
- No$4 @ 78.0¢
- No$16 @ 73.2¢
- No$5 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 19.2¢
- No$4 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 13.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 34.0¢
- No$28 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.8¢
- No$5 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 20.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 21.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 21.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Economy | No | $550 | 35.0¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $336 | 52.0¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Politics | No | $143 | 76.7¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4? | — | No | $6 | 75.0¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3? | — | Yes | $5 | 8.7¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4? | — | Yes | $4 | 8.0¢ |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3? | — | No | $4 | 64.0¢ |
- Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$550 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$336 @ 52.0¢
- No$143 @ 76.7¢
- No$6 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 8.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
- No$4 @ 64.0¢