0x54ea…f74a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x54ea83215ca31e3a83917cfca359f0014187f74a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+25.7pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

69% @ 43.4¢

Brier

0.256

Resolved

691

Avg size

$81

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	48% (158/327)	+0%	327
Sports	38% (12/32)	-5%	32
Politics	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other327 bets
Hit rate
48% (158/327)
ROI
+0%
Sports32 bets
Hit rate
38% (12/32)
ROI
-5%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

47% hit · 170/364

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$733	30.5¢	Lost
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C	Cupid Esports	$330	23.0¢	Lost
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$15	4.2¢	Lost
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$114	21.6¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	$82	27.3¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins	Liquid	$1.1k	67.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score	No	$1.5k	53.8¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	$51	51.0¢	Won
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	14.7¢	Lost
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	No	$3.2k	74.8¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$27	53.5¢	Lost
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5	Over	$97	19.0¢	Lost
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha	FULL SENSE	$126	37.6¢	Won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	$162	55.6¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs	Team Falcons	$101	61.0¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier	Hanwha Life Esports	$584	52.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs	SPARTA	$99	33.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	5.2¢	Lost
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	No	$592	85.2¢	Won
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	$51	54.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Lost
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$91	56.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$21	13.1¢	Lost
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)	King Green	$52	52.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Spain	$95	66.0¢	Won
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Arman Tsarukyan	$25	67.6¢	Won
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	$103	55.9¢	Won
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Tai Tuivasa	$26	54.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Playoffs	ALKA	$303	43.3¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	Cabo Verde	$88	30.4¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	$505	49.0¢	Won
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs HARD GRIND (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends Close Qualifiers	Cyber Hero	$3	50.0¢	Won
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs	3v Team	$515	14.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	$56	21.0¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Colombia	$98	57.0¢	Lost
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs	Leviatán Esports	$698	67.0¢	Won
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$25	8.2¢	Lost
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score	No	$1.2k	47.3¢	Won
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score	No	$7.1k	52.7¢	Won
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	England	$107	53.8¢	Lost
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Loneer Kavanagh	$51	69.0¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)	Salahdine Parnasse	$4.2k	80.0¢	Won
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	United States	$17	33.0¢	Lost
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5	Over	$936	60.4¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	TDK	$6	44.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs	Team Falcons	$122	54.0¢	Won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance	Ghana	$78	20.3¢	Lost
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Modestas Bukauskas	$24	32.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	ECHO	$741	31.3¢	Won

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
No$733 @ 30.5¢
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group CLost
Cupid Esports$330 @ 23.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$15 @ 4.2¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$114 @ 21.6¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsLost
Aurora Gaming$82 @ 27.3¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-InsLost
Liquid$1.1k @ 67.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$1.5k @ 53.8¢
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)Won
Ramazan Temirov$51 @ 51.0¢
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 14.7¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Won
No$3.2k @ 74.8¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$27 @ 53.5¢
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5Lost
Over$97 @ 19.0¢
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaWon
FULL SENSE$126 @ 37.6¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Won
Over$162 @ 55.6¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsWon
Team Falcons$101 @ 61.0¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance QualifierWon
Hanwha Life Esports$584 @ 52.0¢
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 PlayoffsLost
SPARTA$99 @ 33.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$51 @ 5.2¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Won
No$592 @ 85.2¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Won
No$51 @ 54.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Lost
Yes$91 @ 56.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$21 @ 13.1¢
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
King Green$52 @ 52.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWon
Spain$95 @ 66.0¢
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
Arman Tsarukyan$25 @ 67.6¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Won
Yes$103 @ 55.9¢
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)Lost
Tai Tuivasa$26 @ 54.0¢
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June PlayoffsWon
ALKA$303 @ 43.3¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLost
Cabo Verde$88 @ 30.4¢
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsWon
Nuclear TigeRES$505 @ 49.0¢
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Cyber Hero vs HARD GRIND (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends Close QualifiersWon
Cyber Hero$3 @ 50.0¢
LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN PlayoffsLost
3v Team$515 @ 14.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$56 @ 21.0¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceLost
Colombia$98 @ 57.0¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsWon
Leviatán Esports$698 @ 67.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Lost
Yes$25 @ 8.2¢
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$1.2k @ 47.3¢
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$7.1k @ 52.7¢
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLost
England$107 @ 53.8¢
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Loneer Kavanagh$51 @ 69.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)Won
Salahdine Parnasse$4.2k @ 80.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceLost
United States$17 @ 33.0¢
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$936 @ 60.4¢
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsLost
TDK$6 @ 44.0¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsWon
Team Falcons$122 @ 54.0¢
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceLost
Ghana$78 @ 20.3¢
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
Modestas Bukauskas$24 @ 32.0¢
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsWon
ECHO$741 @ 31.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C	—	Cupid Esports	$330	23.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?	—	Yes	$255	84.9¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$202	98.9¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Politics	Yes	$200	79.9¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	—	No	$122	35.8¢
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	—	No	$113	24.2¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	—	Yes	$78	99.3¢
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Politics	Yes	$60	18.7¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Politics	Yes	$58	21.9¢
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$57	14.1¢
Dota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	—	Hokori	$54	56.0¢
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs	—	Nemiga Gaming	$52	50.8¢
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$17	10.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?	—	Yes	$11	18.1¢
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$6	11.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$4	8.5¢

LoL: Cupid Esports vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group C—
Cupid Esports$330 @ 23.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?—
Yes$255 @ 84.9¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$202 @ 98.9¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics
Yes$200 @ 79.9¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?—
No$122 @ 35.8¢
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?—
No$113 @ 24.2¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?—
Yes$78 @ 99.3¢
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics
Yes$60 @ 18.7¢
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics
Yes$58 @ 21.9¢
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$57 @ 14.1¢
Dota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage—
Hokori$54 @ 56.0¢
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Kalmychata (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs—
Nemiga Gaming$52 @ 50.8¢
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$17 @ 10.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?—
Yes$11 @ 18.1¢
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$6 @ 11.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$4 @ 8.5¢