← Smart money
0x54e2…34fb
SharpEdge
+18.1pp
ROI
+25%
Win rate
100% @ 81.6¢
Brier
0.038
Resolved
989
Avg size
$371
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (2/4) | +17% | 4 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +33% | 1 |
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +17%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +33%
Track record
60% hit · 3/5| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $81.9k | 86.2¢ | Won |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $172.6k | 75.1¢ | Won |
| Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election? | Yes | $6 | 1.1¢ | Lost |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $111.9k | 84.9¢ | Won |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | France | $131 | 52.3¢ | Lost |
- No$81.9k @ 86.2¢
- No$172.6k @ 75.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 1.1¢
- No$111.9k @ 84.9¢
- France$131 @ 52.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $5.4k | 63.0¢ |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $2.0k | 50.0¢ |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $1.9k | 31.2¢ |
- No$5.4k @ 63.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 31.2¢