0x54ce…9f80

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x54ce7dd357766fc3255645e55ef41edd51cc9f80
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-4.3pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

41% @ 45.6¢

Brier

0.189

Resolved

936

Avg size

$472

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	46% (26/57)	-6%	57
Sports	40% (6/15)	-3%	15
Politics	67% (6/9)	+80%	9
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other57 bets
Hit rate
46% (26/57)
ROI
-6%
Sports15 bets
Hit rate
40% (6/15)
ROI
-3%
Politics9 bets
Hit rate
67% (6/9)
ROI
+80%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

46% hit · 38/82

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Under	$1.0k	35.0¢	Won
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$759	38.0¢	Won
Spread: Boise State (-26.5)	Boise State	$2.3k	51.7¢	Lost
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Under	$565	33.0¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$42.9k	66.9¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$5.4k	14.9¢	Lost
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)	Grizzlies	$265	53.0¢	Won
Southern Utah vs. St. Thomas: O/U 61.5	Over	$230	50.0¢	Lost
Monmouth vs. University at Albany	Monmouth	$23.0k	53.0¢	Won
Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta Dream	Minnesota Lynx	$18.7k	56.0¢	Lost
Spread: Packers (-4.5)	Jets	$301	55.0¢	Won
Nevada vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	$19.2k	37.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$2.2k	31.9¢	Lost
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	$882	45.0¢	Won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	Over	$552	57.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$2.5k	29.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.0k	6.7¢	Lost
Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$13	35.9¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5	Under	$2.4k	45.0¢	Lost
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Jordan	$2.0k	38.0¢	Lost
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	$36.1k	87.0¢	Won
NYG vs. LA: O/U 48.5	Under	$820	53.0¢	Won
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)	Mavericks	$900	45.0¢	Lost
Mercer vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 60.5	Over	$21.0k	50.0¢	Lost
Mercer vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 60.5	Under	$1.6k	52.0¢	Won
Duquesne vs. Washington State: O/U 53.5	Under	$6.8k	51.0¢	Lost
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5	Under	$1.5k	58.0¢	Lost
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5	Under	$2.5k	31.0¢	Lost
Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Pack	Murray State Racers	$200	20.0¢	Lost
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	$5	10.4¢	Lost
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines	George Washington Revolutionaries	$940	47.0¢	Won
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	$141	7.7¢	Lost
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Under	$3.8k	62.0¢	Won
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals	No	$5.3k	36.0¢	Lost
Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	$1.5k	55.0¢	Lost
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total Corners	Over	$77	30.0¢	Won
Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5)	Sam Houston	$27.2k	54.9¢	Won
Spread: Packers (-7.5)	Falcons	$205	57.0¢	Won
Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	$5	4.9¢	Lost
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$10.2k	31.0¢	Lost
Spread: SMU (-30.5)	SMU	$5.1k	53.0¢	Won
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.0k	15.3¢	Won
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Under	$1.6k	52.0¢	Won
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries	Dallas Wings	$10.9k	30.0¢	Lost
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5	Under	$1.2k	49.7¢	Won
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	No	$2.0k	21.0¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$12.2k	61.3¢	Won
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	Yes	$1.7k	27.8¢	Lost
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Under	$1.5k	52.0¢	Lost
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5	Under	$5.1k	40.0¢	Lost

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersWon
Under$1.0k @ 35.0¢
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-09-19?Won
Yes$759 @ 38.0¢
Spread: Boise State (-26.5)Lost
Boise State$2.3k @ 51.7¢
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 Total CornersLost
Under$565 @ 33.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$42.9k @ 66.9¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$5.4k @ 14.9¢
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Won
Grizzlies$265 @ 53.0¢
Southern Utah vs. St. Thomas: O/U 61.5Lost
Over$230 @ 50.0¢
Monmouth vs. University at AlbanyWon
Monmouth$23.0k @ 53.0¢
Minnesota Lynx vs. Atlanta DreamLost
Minnesota Lynx$18.7k @ 56.0¢
Spread: Packers (-4.5)Won
Jets$301 @ 55.0¢
Nevada vs. Middle TennesseeWon
Middle Tennessee$19.2k @ 37.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2.2k @ 31.9¢
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-20?Won
Yes$882 @ 45.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Won
Over$552 @ 57.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 29.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 6.7¢
Will CD Garcilaso win on 2026-09-19?Won
Yes$13 @ 35.9¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Lost
Under$2.4k @ 45.0¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Lost
Jordan$2.0k @ 38.0¢
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Won
Yes$36.1k @ 87.0¢
NYG vs. LA: O/U 48.5Won
Under$820 @ 53.0¢
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Lost
Mavericks$900 @ 45.0¢
Mercer vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 60.5Lost
Over$21.0k @ 50.0¢
Mercer vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 60.5Won
Under$1.6k @ 52.0¢
Duquesne vs. Washington State: O/U 53.5Lost
Under$6.8k @ 51.0¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 1.5Lost
Under$1.5k @ 58.0¢
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Lost
Under$2.5k @ 31.0¢
Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf PackLost
Murray State Racers$200 @ 20.0¢
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Lost
Yes$5 @ 10.4¢
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley WolverinesWon
George Washington Revolutionaries$940 @ 47.0¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Lost
Yes$141 @ 7.7¢
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 9.5 Total CornersWon
Under$3.8k @ 62.0¢
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsLost
No$5.3k @ 36.0¢
Atlanta Dream vs. New York LibertyLost
New York Liberty$1.5k @ 55.0¢
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersWon
Over$77 @ 30.0¢
Spread: Sam Houston (-17.5)Won
Sam Houston$27.2k @ 54.9¢
Spread: Packers (-7.5)Won
Falcons$205 @ 57.0¢
Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Lost
Yes$10.2k @ 31.0¢
Spread: SMU (-30.5)Won
SMU$5.1k @ 53.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 15.3¢
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWon
Under$1.6k @ 52.0¢
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State ValkyriesLost
Dallas Wings$10.9k @ 30.0¢
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5Won
Under$1.2k @ 49.7¢
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Lost
No$2.0k @ 21.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Won
Yes$12.2k @ 61.3¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 27.8¢
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total CornersLost
Under$1.5k @ 52.0¢
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5Lost
Under$5.1k @ 40.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Drake vs. Davidson: O/U 53.5	Sports	Over	$12.4k	54.0¢
Columbia vs. Georgetown: O/U 51.5	Sports	Under	$11.8k	53.0¢
Gardner-Webb vs. Marshall: O/U 51.5	Sports	Over	$11.7k	53.0¢
Gardner-Webb vs. Marshall: O/U 53.5	Sports	Over	$10.8k	49.0¢
New Hampshire vs. Sacred Heart	Sports	New Hampshire	$10.4k	41.0¢
Spread: McNeese (-5.5)	Sports	McNeese	$5.1k	51.0¢
Lindenwood vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 49.5	Sports	Over	$4.3k	55.0¢
Spread: Abilene Christian (-3.5)	Sports	Abilene Christian	$1.4k	52.0¢
Spread: McNeese (-3.5)	Sports	McNeese	$1.0k	52.0¢
Rhode Island vs. North Carolina A&T: O/U 53.5	Sports	Under	$962	56.0¢
Spread: Sacred Heart (-3.5)	Sports	New Hampshire	$682	51.1¢
Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State: O/U 57.5	Sports	Under	$459	52.0¢
Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State	Sports	Alcorn State	$412	60.0¢
Lehigh vs. Penn: O/U 49.5	Sports	Under	$405	54.0¢
Spread: Idaho State (-10.5)	Sports	Southern Utah	$300	53.0¢
North Dakota vs. Indiana State: O/U 57.5	Sports	Under	$198	54.0¢
Alabama A&M vs. Florida A&M: O/U 49.5	Sports	Over	$3	51.0¢

Drake vs. Davidson: O/U 53.5Sports
Over$12.4k @ 54.0¢
Columbia vs. Georgetown: O/U 51.5Sports
Under$11.8k @ 53.0¢
Gardner-Webb vs. Marshall: O/U 51.5Sports
Over$11.7k @ 53.0¢
Gardner-Webb vs. Marshall: O/U 53.5Sports
Over$10.8k @ 49.0¢
New Hampshire vs. Sacred HeartSports
New Hampshire$10.4k @ 41.0¢
Spread: McNeese (-5.5)Sports
McNeese$5.1k @ 51.0¢
Lindenwood vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 49.5Sports
Over$4.3k @ 55.0¢
Spread: Abilene Christian (-3.5)Sports
Abilene Christian$1.4k @ 52.0¢
Spread: McNeese (-3.5)Sports
McNeese$1.0k @ 52.0¢
Rhode Island vs. North Carolina A&T: O/U 53.5Sports
Under$962 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Sacred Heart (-3.5)Sports
New Hampshire$682 @ 51.1¢
Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State: O/U 57.5Sports
Under$459 @ 52.0¢
Texas Southern vs. Alcorn StateSports
Alcorn State$412 @ 60.0¢
Lehigh vs. Penn: O/U 49.5Sports
Under$405 @ 54.0¢
Spread: Idaho State (-10.5)Sports
Southern Utah$300 @ 53.0¢
North Dakota vs. Indiana State: O/U 57.5Sports
Under$198 @ 54.0¢
Alabama A&M vs. Florida A&M: O/U 49.5Sports
Over$3 @ 51.0¢