0x54bb…35e5

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x54bbbee2e818dd66b36ae37a178d135fd1bc35e5
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.7pp

ROI

+20%

Win rate

52% @ 45.1¢

Brier

0.116

Resolved

448

Avg size

$334

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	47% (40/85)	+18%	85
Sports	40% (2/5)	+215%	5
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+214%	1

Other85 bets
Hit rate
47% (40/85)
ROI
+18%
Sports5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+215%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+214%

Track record

47% hit · 43/91

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	Yes	$450	20.4¢	Lost
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-05?	Yes	$195	78.0¢	Won
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Switzerland	$52	25.0¢	Lost
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?	Yes	$225	45.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Unburdened" during DNC speech?	Yes	$50	10.0¢	Lost
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?	Yes	$1.2k	52.9¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?	Yes	$78	50.0¢	Won
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?	No	$770	77.0¢	Won
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?	Yes	$230	23.0¢	Lost
Will Sky win the USDH ticker?	Yes	$35	2.0¢	Lost
Pavel Durov released in August?	Yes	$1.4k	32.0¢	Won
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?	No	$814	73.2¢	Won
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$85	20.4¢	Lost
Will Lontravious win the Ansem Invitational trading competition?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?	Yes	$200	4.9¢	Lost
Kamala Harris DNC speech 45-60 minutes?	Yes	$300	30.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?	Yes	$202	48.9¢	Won
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	$102	20.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?	Yes	$21	2.1¢	Lost
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?	No	$300	30.0¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?	No	$320	80.0¢	Won
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$7	4.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?	Yes	$78	35.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	$28.5k	81.6¢	Won
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	No	$760	76.0¢	Won
Buccaneers vs. Texans	Texans	$500	58.0¢	Lost
Who will win the debate according to polls?	Trump	$150	1.9¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?	No	$200	20.0¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?	Yes	$1.8k	80.6¢	Won
Will Kamala Harris say "Oakland" during DNC speech?	No	$50	16.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?	No	$506	72.3¢	Won
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?	Yes	$192	63.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "Tampon" at his rally?	No	$50	29.0¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$889	17.8¢	Won
Broncos vs. Chargers	Chargers	$655	43.7¢	Won
US military action against Iran before July?	Yes	$2.3k	54.8¢	Won
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$525	10.5¢	Lost
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	$90	69.8¢	Won
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?	Yes	$466	36.5¢	Lost
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?	No	$810	40.5¢	Lost
Alabama vs. Georgia	Georgia	$1.1k	53.6¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$111	10.8¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?	Yes	$1.2k	22.6¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" 5+ times during the X space?	Yes	$310	31.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	$40	0.4¢	Lost
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?	Yes	$550	18.3¢	Lost
Will Kamala Harris say "Antisemitism" during DNC speech?	Yes	$150	15.0¢	Lost
Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	$100	40.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	$6.2k	85.0¢	Won
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?	Yes	$585	39.0¢	Lost

TikTok sale announced by September 30?Lost
Yes$450 @ 20.4¢
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-05?Won
Yes$195 @ 78.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceLost
Switzerland$52 @ 25.0¢
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Lost
Yes$225 @ 45.0¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Unburdened" during DNC speech?Lost
Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 52.9¢
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?Won
Yes$78 @ 50.0¢
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?Won
No$770 @ 77.0¢
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?Lost
Yes$230 @ 23.0¢
Will Sky win the USDH ticker?Lost
Yes$35 @ 2.0¢
Pavel Durov released in August?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 32.0¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Won
No$814 @ 73.2¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$85 @ 20.4¢
Will Lontravious win the Ansem Invitational trading competition?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Lost
Yes$200 @ 4.9¢
Kamala Harris DNC speech 45-60 minutes?Lost
Yes$300 @ 30.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Won
Yes$202 @ 48.9¢
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$102 @ 20.0¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?Lost
Yes$21 @ 2.1¢
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Lost
No$300 @ 30.0¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Won
No$320 @ 80.0¢
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$7 @ 4.0¢
Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?Lost
Yes$78 @ 35.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Won
Yes$28.5k @ 81.6¢
Ethereum all time high in 2024?Won
No$760 @ 76.0¢
Buccaneers vs. TexansLost
Texans$500 @ 58.0¢
Who will win the debate according to polls?Lost
Trump$150 @ 1.9¢
Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?Lost
No$200 @ 20.0¢
Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?Won
Yes$1.8k @ 80.6¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Oakland" during DNC speech?Lost
No$50 @ 16.0¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?Won
No$506 @ 72.3¢
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?Won
Yes$192 @ 63.0¢
Will Trump say "Tampon" at his rally?Lost
No$50 @ 29.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Won
Yes$889 @ 17.8¢
Broncos vs. ChargersWon
Chargers$655 @ 43.7¢
US military action against Iran before July?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 54.8¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$525 @ 10.5¢
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Won
No$90 @ 69.8¢
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?Lost
Yes$466 @ 36.5¢
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Lost
No$810 @ 40.5¢
Alabama vs. GeorgiaLost
Georgia$1.1k @ 53.6¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$111 @ 10.8¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 22.6¢
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" 5+ times during the X space?Lost
Yes$310 @ 31.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$40 @ 0.4¢
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Lost
Yes$550 @ 18.3¢
Will Kamala Harris say "Antisemitism" during DNC speech?Lost
Yes$150 @ 15.0¢
Grizzlies vs. WarriorsWon
Grizzlies$100 @ 40.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Won
No$6.2k @ 85.0¢
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?Lost
Yes$585 @ 39.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$500	30.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$488	20.0¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$150	0.9¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$99	1.5¢

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$500 @ 30.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$488 @ 20.0¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$150 @ 0.9¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$99 @ 1.5¢