← Smart money
0x54a5…ee3d
ProfitableEdge
+29.0pp
ROI
+87%
Win rate
45% @ 15.7¢
Brier
0.299
Resolved
4257
Avg size
$94
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 32% (21/65) | +38% | 65 |
| Sports | 15% (2/13) | +131% | 13 |
| Politics | 50% (1/2) | +42% | 2 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other65 bets
- Hit rate
- 32% (21/65)
- ROI
- +38%
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 15% (2/13)
- ROI
- +131%
- Politics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +42%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
29% hit · 24/82- Yes$191 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$7.9k @ 24.7¢
- Yes$22.0k @ 13.6¢
- Yes$949 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$100 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$600 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 5.6¢
- No$2.1k @ 30.0¢
- Yes$35.2k @ 71.8¢
- Yes$392 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$327 @ 21.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 0.5¢
- Under$920 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$11.8k @ 49.0¢
- Yes$454 @ 25.5¢
- Yes$272 @ 9.9¢
- Yes$194 @ 30.5¢
- No$490 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$203 @ 60.7¢
- Yes$15.5k @ 8.9¢
- Yes$629 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$129 @ 41.3¢
- Yes$8.5k @ 21.9¢
- Yes$201 @ 10.3¢
- Yes$24 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$35.5k @ 67.5¢
- Yes$12.9k @ 11.0¢
- No$36 @ 1.7¢
- No$4 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$18.5k @ 17.7¢
- No$35 @ 17.6¢
- Yes$680 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$12.3k @ 7.7¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 6.4¢
- Yes$10.8k @ 65.0¢
- Yes$384 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 41.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$8.1k @ 54.9¢
- Yes$201 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$102 @ 40.0¢
- No$749 @ 28.0¢
- No$742 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 27.8¢
- Yes$78.2k @ 16.0¢
- Yes$950 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 57.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 19.5¢
- Yes$670 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$17 @ 62.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $8.9k | 56.4¢ |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $997 | 58.0¢ |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | Other | Yes | $986 | 34.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $657 | 52.8¢ |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Sports | Yes | $508 | 3.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $450 | 45.0¢ |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $344 | 68.0¢ |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Crypto | Yes | $1 | 13.0¢ |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 27.0¢ |
- Yes$8.9k @ 56.4¢
- Yes$997 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$986 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$657 @ 52.8¢
- Yes$508 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$450 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$344 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 27.0¢