0x5452…d448

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x54525ee78bd513b0bf75f94e560158f6fc35d448
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.8pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

37% @ 28.4¢

Brier

0.081

Resolved

1786

Avg size

$60

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (22/41)	+39%	41
Sports	14% (2/14)	+12%	14

Other41 bets
Hit rate
54% (22/41)
ROI
+39%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
14% (2/14)
ROI
+12%

Track record

44% hit · 24/55

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	No	$8.7k	77.4¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	$42	0.7¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5	Over	$3	0.1¢	Lost
Alex Baena: 1+ goals	No	$200	82.0¢	Won
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5	Over	$40	0.2¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$2	49.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	$473	78.0¢	Won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	No	$2.7k	42.8¢	Lost
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$94	21.1¢	Lost
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$536	3.7¢	Lost
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assists	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals	No	$5.9k	70.8¢	Won
Breel Embolo: 1+ assists	No	$1.1k	87.0¢	Won
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals	No	$25.2k	55.6¢	Won
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5	Over	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	$1.9k	50.4¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	$460	44.0¢	Won
Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montreal	No	$68	82.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	$911	2.6¢	Lost
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals	No	$680	34.0¢	Lost
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals	No	$241	86.0¢	Won
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals	Yes	$800	8.0¢	Lost
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	$24	0.3¢	Lost
Pedri: 1+ assists	No	$411	87.0¢	Won
Will Hubert Hurkacz Win ATP Montreal	Yes	$1	3.1¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?	No	$5.4k	82.0¢	Won
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?	No	$1.2k	46.7¢	Lost
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	$3.2k	80.8¢	Won
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	$406	13.9¢	Lost
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?	No	$4.1k	76.5¢	Won
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?	Yes	$8	20.0¢	Lost
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5	Over	$10	2.4¢	Lost
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?	Yes	$66	2.7¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	$1.3k	32.8¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$606	63.9¢	Lost
Exact Score: FK Sutjeska Nikšić 2 - 1 FK ML Viciebsk?	Yes	$2	6.3¢	Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$6.7k	67.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	$32	0.2¢	Lost
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals	No	$13.1k	59.4¢	Won
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	$1.2k	64.4¢	Won
Granit Xhaka: 1+ assists	No	$131	87.0¢	Won
Daniel Muñoz: 1+ assists	No	$1.8k	87.0¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	$24	0.1¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$288	8.9¢	Lost
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$257	25.7¢	Lost
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5	Over	$13	0.1¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$5.5k	36.7¢	Won
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8.9k	59.1¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$303	67.7¢	Won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals	No	$1.0k	69.7¢	Won

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWon
No$8.7k @ 77.4¢
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$42 @ 0.7¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Lost
Over$3 @ 0.1¢
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsWon
No$200 @ 82.0¢
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Lost
Over$40 @ 0.2¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$2 @ 49.0¢
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Won
No$473 @ 78.0¢
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsLost
No$2.7k @ 42.8¢
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$94 @ 21.1¢
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Lost
Yes$536 @ 3.7¢
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsLost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsWon
No$5.9k @ 70.8¢
Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsWon
No$1.1k @ 87.0¢
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsWon
No$25.2k @ 55.6¢
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5Lost
Over$2 @ 0.2¢
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Lost
No$1.9k @ 50.4¢
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
Yes$460 @ 44.0¢
Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP MontrealWon
No$68 @ 82.0¢
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Lost
Yes$911 @ 2.6¢
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsLost
No$680 @ 34.0¢
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsWon
No$241 @ 86.0¢
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsLost
Yes$800 @ 8.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$24 @ 0.3¢
Pedri: 1+ assistsWon
No$411 @ 87.0¢
Will Hubert Hurkacz Win ATP MontrealLost
Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?Won
No$5.4k @ 82.0¢
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?Lost
No$1.2k @ 46.7¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
No$3.2k @ 80.8¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$406 @ 13.9¢
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?Won
No$4.1k @ 76.5¢
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?Lost
Yes$8 @ 20.0¢
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5Lost
Over$10 @ 2.4¢
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$66 @ 2.7¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
No$1.3k @ 32.8¢
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$606 @ 63.9¢
Exact Score: FK Sutjeska Nikšić 2 - 1 FK ML Viciebsk?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.3¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$6.7k @ 67.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$32 @ 0.2¢
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWon
No$13.1k @ 59.4¢
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
No$1.2k @ 64.4¢
Granit Xhaka: 1+ assistsWon
No$131 @ 87.0¢
Daniel Muñoz: 1+ assistsWon
No$1.8k @ 87.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$24 @ 0.1¢
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$288 @ 8.9¢
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$257 @ 25.7¢
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Lost
Over$13 @ 0.1¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$5.5k @ 36.7¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$8.9k @ 59.1¢
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$303 @ 67.7¢
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWon
No$1.0k @ 69.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$47.5k	48.6¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$35.0k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$35.0k	50.0¢
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$28.1k	50.0¢
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Sports	No	$8.5k	94.6¢
Will Kosovo win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?	Sports	No	$1.7k	83.0¢
Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Sports	Yes	$1.4k	69.0¢
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Sports	No	$1.2k	91.1¢
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Sports	No	$664	87.0¢
Will Strasbourg finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Sports	No	$529	84.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Women's Champions League?	Sports	Yes	$287	32.4¢
Will TSG Hoffenheim win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Sports	No	$261	93.7¢
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Sports	No	$229	92.6¢
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Sports	No	$225	73.4¢
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Sports	No	$215	86.0¢
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$205	4.1¢
Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Sports	No	$151	79.9¢
Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$150	99.7¢
Will Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Sports	No	$150	99.7¢
Will Adam Hlozek be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Sports	No	$148	82.0¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	Yes	$140	1.4¢
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?	Sports	No	$130	62.0¢
Will Rennes win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Sports	No	$129	93.2¢
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Sports	No	$115	92.0¢
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?	Sports	No	$111	85.0¢
Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?	Sports	No	$104	62.0¢
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Sports	Yes	$90	0.9¢
Will Chelsea finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	Sports	No	$82	16.0¢
Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Sports	No	$73	83.0¢
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$71	1.1¢

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$47.5k @ 48.6¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$35.0k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$35.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$28.1k @ 50.0¢
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?Sports
No$8.5k @ 94.6¢
Will Kosovo win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?Sports
No$1.7k @ 83.0¢
Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Sports
Yes$1.4k @ 69.0¢
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Sports
No$1.2k @ 91.1¢
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Sports
No$664 @ 87.0¢
Will Strasbourg finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Sports
No$529 @ 84.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Women's Champions League?Sports
Yes$287 @ 32.4¢
Will TSG Hoffenheim win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Sports
No$261 @ 93.7¢
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Sports
No$229 @ 92.6¢
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Sports
No$225 @ 73.4¢
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Sports
No$215 @ 86.0¢
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$205 @ 4.1¢
Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Sports
No$151 @ 79.9¢
Will Gabriel Bortoleto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Sports
No$150 @ 99.7¢
Will Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Sports
No$150 @ 99.7¢
Will Adam Hlozek be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Sports
No$148 @ 82.0¢
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
Yes$140 @ 1.4¢
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?Sports
No$130 @ 62.0¢
Will Rennes win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Sports
No$129 @ 93.2¢
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Sports
No$115 @ 92.0¢
Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Sports
No$111 @ 85.0¢
Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?Sports
No$104 @ 62.0¢
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Sports
Yes$90 @ 0.9¢
Will Chelsea finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Sports
No$82 @ 16.0¢
Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Sports
No$73 @ 83.0¢
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$71 @ 1.1¢