0x543f…2e82

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x543f7e55ffbebe257e099cd0d15c78462e862e82
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.2pp

ROI

+26%

Win rate

57% @ 47.9¢

Brier

0.092

Resolved

133

Avg size

$89

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	37% (17/46)	+40%	46
Politics	69% (9/13)	+21%	13
Geopolitics	60% (3/5)	+13%	5
Tech	67% (2/3)	+21%	3
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other46 bets
Hit rate
37% (17/46)
ROI
+40%
Politics13 bets
Hit rate
69% (9/13)
ROI
+21%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
+13%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
+21%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Track record

46% hit · 32/70

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	No	$12	59.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	$415	67.0¢	Won
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 28?	No	$1	4.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$993	75.3¢	Won
Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?	No	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$227	22.7¢	Won
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$1	20.6¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$28	5.7¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$5	63.0¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $240 in September?	No	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will João Ferreira be elected Mayor of Lisbon?	Yes	$10	19.3¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $220 in September?	No	$38	10.7¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?	100k	$599	47.9¢	Won
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	$274	87.2¢	Won
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	$301	86.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$21	83.0¢	Won
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	$1	6.1¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$1	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?	Yes	$20	10.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$900	79.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$84	83.6¢	Won
Will Solana reach $225 in September?	No	$19	16.0¢	Lost
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$26	13.0¢	Lost
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	No	$10	37.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?	Yes	$171	88.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	$1.4k	87.0¢	Won
US government shutdown Saturday?	Yes	$11	80.0¢	Won
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	$57	74.1¢	Won
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	$20	62.8¢	Lost
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Lost
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$21	11.2¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$5	86.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	80k	$20	42.2¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	$52	89.2¢	Won
Will ETH hard fork before May?	No	$9	75.2¢	Won
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	$202	75.0¢	Won
Was JFK assassination an inside job?	Yes	$1	1.6¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	$12	6.0¢	Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$22	11.2¢	Lost
Trump signs national abortion ban?	Yes	$1	4.6¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	TYLOO	$1	10.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?	No	$1.7k	81.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$1.3k	68.7¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$325	26.0¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$638	84.0¢	Won
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$26	13.0¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$63	30.9¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	Yes	$4	8.0¢	Lost
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?	Yes	$1	6.7¢	Lost
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	$173	35.3¢	Lost

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Lost
No$12 @ 59.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Won
No$415 @ 67.0¢
Dogecoin above $0.17 on March 28?Lost
No$1 @ 4.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$993 @ 75.3¢
Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?Lost
No$1 @ 11.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$227 @ 22.7¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Won
Yes$1 @ 20.6¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Lost
Yes$28 @ 5.7¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$5 @ 63.0¢
Will Solana reach $240 in September?Lost
No$50 @ 50.0¢
Will João Ferreira be elected Mayor of Lisbon?Lost
Yes$10 @ 19.3¢
Will Solana reach $220 in September?Lost
No$38 @ 10.7¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?Won
100k$599 @ 47.9¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Won
No$274 @ 87.2¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
No$301 @ 86.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$21 @ 83.0¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$1 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Won
No$900 @ 79.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$84 @ 83.6¢
Will Solana reach $225 in September?Lost
No$19 @ 16.0¢
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Lost
No$10 @ 37.0¢
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Won
Yes$171 @ 88.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Won
No$1.4k @ 87.0¢
US government shutdown Saturday?Won
Yes$11 @ 80.0¢
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?Won
No$57 @ 74.1¢
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Lost
Yes$20 @ 62.8¢
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Lost
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$21 @ 11.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$5 @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?Won
80k$20 @ 42.2¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Won
No$52 @ 89.2¢
Will ETH hard fork before May?Won
No$9 @ 75.2¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Won
Yes$202 @ 75.0¢
Was JFK assassination an inside job?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.6¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$22 @ 11.2¢
Trump signs national abortion ban?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.6¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Lost
TYLOO$1 @ 10.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Won
No$1.7k @ 81.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$1.3k @ 68.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$325 @ 26.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$638 @ 84.0¢
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$63 @ 30.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.7¢
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Lost
No$173 @ 35.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Tech	No	$12	59.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1	58.4¢

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Tech
No$12 @ 59.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 58.4¢