0x5421…449c

Specialization by sphere

• Other86 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (55/86)

  ROI

  +72%

• Politics29 bets

  Hit rate

  69% (20/29)

  ROI

  +29%

• Sports7 bets

  Hit rate

  29% (2/7)

  ROI

  -57%

• Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Won
  Yes$23 @ 75.0¢
• Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Won
  Yes$30 @ 30.0¢
• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
  Yes$69 @ 85.1¢
• Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Won
  Yes$13 @ 88.0¢
• Will Gary Anderson win the PDC World Darts Championship?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 1.7¢
• Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?Won
  Yes$7 @ 70.0¢
• Will The Alternative be part of the next Government of Denmark?Won
  No$13 @ 85.0¢
• Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Won
  Yes$202 @ 45.0¢
• Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Won
  Yes$25 @ 83.3¢
• Will António José Seguro win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 29.3¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
  No$22 @ 44.0¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
  Yes$35 @ 59.0¢
• Will Liberal Alliance win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Won
  Yes$12 @ 45.2¢
• Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Won
  Yes$4 @ 40.0¢
• Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$209 @ 69.9¢
• Will Venstre win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Won
  Yes$13 @ 26.0¢
• Democrats 66 (D66) win 10% or more of votes in Netherlands election?Won
  Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
• Starostové (STAN) wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?Won
  Yes$63 @ 58.1¢
• Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?Won
  No$33 @ 72.1¢
• Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 27.4¢
• Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?Won
  No$362 @ 59.8¢
• Will Unidad por Chile hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?Won
  Yes$50 @ 84.0¢
• Will Krzysztof Ratajski win the PDC World Darts Championship?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
• Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?Lost
  No$4 @ 20.0¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$40 @ 67.0¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$122 @ 26.9¢
• Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Won
  No$9 @ 62.0¢
• Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 42.2¢
• Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Won
  Yes$40 @ 50.0¢
• Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 50.0¢
• Will Høgni Hoydal be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?Won
  No$4 @ 75.0¢
• Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 25-29 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?Won
  Yes$81 @ 85.0¢
• Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 21.0¢
• Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 5.8¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Won
  Yes$26 @ 85.0¢
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Won
  No$86 @ 70.9¢
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Lost
  Yes$38 @ 17.7¢
• ANO wins 33% or more of vote in Czech election?Lost
  No$94 @ 72.5¢
• Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Won
  No$23 @ 75.0¢
• Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 6.0¢
• Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Won
  Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$12 @ 60.0¢
• Will Partido Popular win 31-33 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 30.0¢
• Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?Lost
  Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
• Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?Lost
  No$4 @ 80.0¢
• Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Won
  Yes$491 @ 31.7¢
• Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Won
  Yes$2 @ 34.0¢
• Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
• Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 45.0¢
• Will André Ventura win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 23.0¢

Current positions

• Denmark snap election called by December 31?Politics
  No$241 @ 91.2¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$126 @ 84.3¢
• Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$96 @ 24.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$88 @ 73.0¢
• Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Politics
  Yes$81 @ 81.2¢
• Will the Union of Greens and Farmers (ZZS) win seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary elections?Politics
  No$59 @ 74.4¢
• Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$36 @ 60.0¢
• Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Politics
  No$32 @ 80.0¢
• Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?Politics
  Yes$30 @ 30.0¢
• Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Politics
  No$26 @ 85.0¢
• Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics
  No$24 @ 61.0¢
• Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics
  No$24 @ 81.0¢
• Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  No$24 @ 78.7¢
• Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Politics
  No$23 @ 75.0¢
• Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
  Yes$22 @ 72.0¢
• Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics
  Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
• Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Politics
  No$15 @ 75.7¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$14 @ 71.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  No$12 @ 60.0¢
• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$11 @ 53.0¢
• Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 35.0¢
• Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Politics
  No$9 @ 87.0¢
• Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Politics
  Yes$9 @ 55.0¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$7 @ 73.2¢
• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Sports
  No$7 @ 73.0¢
• Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics
  No$7 @ 66.0¢
• Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
• Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  No$5 @ 95.0¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$4 @ 80.0¢
• Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Politics
  No$4 @ 79.0¢