← Smart money
0x53f6…3ca4
SharpEdge
+10.9pp
ROI
+47%
Win rate
19% @ 7.8¢
Brier
0.094
Resolved
80
Avg size
$5
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Science | 10% (1/10) | +147% | 10 |
| Other | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Sports | 50% (1/2) | +281% | 2 |
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +43% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Science10 bets
- Hit rate
- 10% (1/10)
- ROI
- +147%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +281%
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +43%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
16% hit · 3/19- Yes$3 @ 7.8¢
- No$110 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$29 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 26.0¢
- No$22 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$147 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$1 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $868 | 36.6¢ |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $301 | 49.4¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $132 | 70.0¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $120 | 57.0¢ |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Crypto | No | $110 | 46.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ |
- Yes$868 @ 36.6¢
- No$301 @ 49.4¢
- No$132 @ 70.0¢
- No$120 @ 57.0¢
- No$110 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 5.0¢