0x5372…4b1f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x537263fdfc15e4e967e63c0c783f22f549e74b1f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.6pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

89% @ 78.2¢

Brier

0.097

Resolved

2099

Avg size

$79

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	81% (93/115)	+14%	115
Politics	82% (18/22)	+7%	22
Tech	86% (6/7)	+20%	7
Geopolitics	100% (6/6)	+16%	6

Other115 bets
Hit rate
81% (93/115)
ROI
+14%
Politics22 bets
Hit rate
82% (18/22)
ROI
+7%
Tech7 bets
Hit rate
86% (6/7)
ROI
+20%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
100% (6/6)
ROI
+16%

Track record

82% hit · 123/150

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	$919	90.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	$539	88.4¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	$3.2k	88.9¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	No	$80	80.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	$1.6k	74.0¢	Won
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$143	82.8¢	Won
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	$993	79.5¢	Won
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	$556	74.5¢	Won
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?	No	$150	75.0¢	Won
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	No	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$263	89.0¢	Won
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	$340	85.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$593	84.7¢	Won
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	$8.9k	83.8¢	Won
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?	No	$439	87.8¢	Won
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	No	$2.7k	74.1¢	Won
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?	No	$5.0k	80.5¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$1.2k	85.8¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$7.1k	82.2¢	Won
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?	No	$499	84.8¢	Won
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in October?	No	$587	76.7¢	Won
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?	No	$532	88.7¢	Won
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?	No	$25	86.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?	No	$81	81.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$1.8k	77.6¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$1.2k	81.6¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$739	82.1¢	Won
Another US military action against Iran before August?	No	$108	84.3¢	Won
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?	No	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition	Yes	$86	86.0¢	Won
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?	No	$97	84.0¢	Won
India x Pakistan military clash by Friday?	No	$59	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	Yes	$24	78.0¢	Won
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?	No	$3.4k	76.5¢	Won
Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?	No	$738	88.3¢	Lost
Elon Musk tweets 35+ times Monday?	Yes	$45	64.0¢	Won
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in October?	No	$48	71.0¢	Lost
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$158	79.0¢	Won
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?	No	$1.4k	77.9¢	Won
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?	No	$409	87.5¢	Won
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?	No	$1.3k	86.9¢	Won
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	Yes	$168	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?	Yes	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?	No	$440	86.2¢	Won
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?	Yes	$102	74.6¢	Won
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	No	$88	88.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	No	$2.5k	77.0¢	Won
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?	No	$807	63.6¢	Won
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	$454	73.1¢	Lost
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?	Yes	$3.0k	74.4¢	Won

Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Won
No$919 @ 90.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Won
No$539 @ 88.4¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Won
No$3.2k @ 88.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Won
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Won
No$1.6k @ 74.0¢
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Won
Yes$143 @ 82.8¢
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Won
No$993 @ 79.5¢
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Won
No$556 @ 74.5¢
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Won
No$150 @ 75.0¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Lost
No$50 @ 50.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
No$263 @ 89.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Won
Yes$340 @ 85.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$593 @ 84.7¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Won
No$8.9k @ 83.8¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?Won
No$439 @ 87.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Won
No$2.7k @ 74.1¢
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?Won
No$5.0k @ 80.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
No$1.2k @ 85.8¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$7.1k @ 82.2¢
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?Won
No$499 @ 84.8¢
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in October?Won
No$587 @ 76.7¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?Won
No$532 @ 88.7¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?Won
No$25 @ 86.0¢
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?Won
No$81 @ 81.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$1.8k @ 77.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Lost
No$1.2k @ 81.6¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$739 @ 82.1¢
Another US military action against Iran before August?Won
No$108 @ 84.3¢
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?Lost
No$2 @ 0.5¢
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionWon
Yes$86 @ 86.0¢
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?Won
No$97 @ 84.0¢
India x Pakistan military clash by Friday?Won
No$59 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Won
Yes$24 @ 78.0¢
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Won
No$3.4k @ 76.5¢
Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?Lost
No$738 @ 88.3¢
Elon Musk tweets 35+ times Monday?Won
Yes$45 @ 64.0¢
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in October?Lost
No$48 @ 71.0¢
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Won
Yes$158 @ 79.0¢
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?Won
No$1.4k @ 77.9¢
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?Won
No$409 @ 87.5¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?Won
No$1.3k @ 86.9¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Won
Yes$168 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?Won
Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?Won
No$440 @ 86.2¢
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?Won
Yes$102 @ 74.6¢
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?Won
No$88 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Won
No$2.5k @ 77.0¢
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?Won
No$807 @ 63.6¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Lost
Yes$454 @ 73.1¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?Won
Yes$3.0k @ 74.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$3.2k	88.8¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	Tech	No	$1.7k	89.9¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?	Tech	No	$1.1k	82.6¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$955	75.4¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Politics	Yes	$878	54.3¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	No	$637	82.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$253	63.3¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$240	47.9¢
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?	Politics	No	$200	86.2¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$80	80.0¢

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$3.2k @ 88.8¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?Tech
No$1.7k @ 89.9¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Tech
No$1.1k @ 82.6¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech
No$955 @ 75.4¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
Yes$878 @ 54.3¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
No$637 @ 82.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$253 @ 63.3¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
Yes$240 @ 47.9¢
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Politics
No$200 @ 86.2¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$80 @ 80.0¢