0x52fa…8692

Specialization by sphere

• Other9 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (5/9)

  ROI

  +0%

• Politics8 bets

  Hit rate

  88% (7/8)

  ROI

  +27%

• Tech4 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (4/4)

  ROI

  +21%

• Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreLost
  No$41 @ 47.0¢
• Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
  Yes$101 @ 52.2¢
• Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
  Yes$5 @ 61.0¢
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
  Yes$51 @ 59.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 81.0¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 86.0¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$30 @ 34.5¢
• Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Lost
  No$55 @ 4.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Won
  No$83 @ 83.0¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$40 @ 85.0¢
• Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 20.0¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$20 @ 73.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
  Yes$21 @ 48.0¢
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
  No$20 @ 84.8¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Won
  No$25 @ 84.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Won
  No$30 @ 78.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$9 @ 46.0¢
• Will France win on 2026-07-09?Won
  Yes$106 @ 60.6¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Won
  No$50 @ 88.0¢
• Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Won
  No$23 @ 19.0¢
• Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
  No$34 @ 67.5¢

Current positions

• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$101 @ 75.1¢
• Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech
  No$65 @ 52.7¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$50 @ 79.0¢
• Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics
  No$50 @ 68.0¢
• Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Politics
  No$30 @ 94.7¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech
  No$25 @ 27.6¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
  No$23 @ 78.0¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$21 @ 70.0¢
• Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$20 @ 87.0¢
• Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  No$20 @ 78.9¢
• Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture
  No$20 @ 51.7¢
• Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$20 @ 92.0¢
• Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Politics
  No$20 @ 86.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Politics
  No$20 @ 86.0¢
• Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$20 @ 82.0¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics
  No$20 @ 74.0¢
• Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics
  No$20 @ 73.8¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$20 @ 73.0¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$20 @ 73.0¢
• Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics
  Yes$20 @ 72.0¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$20 @ 67.0¢
• Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
  No$20 @ 66.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$20 @ 66.0¢
• Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$20 @ 61.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$20 @ 59.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$20 @ 42.0¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics
  No$20 @ 19.0¢
• Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics
  No$17 @ 87.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$14 @ 72.0¢
• Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$13 @ 64.0¢