0x526b…cdee

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x526b0cc86494c0cd46fa6d36eaa8d1ab26b5cdee
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+13.2pp

ROI

+16%

Win rate

96% @ 83.2¢

Brier

0.032

Resolved

217

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	83% (5/6)	+8%	6
Geopolitics	100% (5/5)	+20%	5

Politics6 bets
Hit rate
83% (5/6)
ROI
+8%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+20%

Track record

91% hit · 10/11

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	No	$9	87.5¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$15	44.3¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$42	83.5¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	No	$27	88.5¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	$47	86.1¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$92	88.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	$115	83.1¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	No	$360	82.6¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	No	$4	89.1¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$129	87.8¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	No	$4	89.0¢	Won

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Won
No$9 @ 87.5¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Lost
Yes$15 @ 44.3¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
No$42 @ 83.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Won
No$27 @ 88.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Won
No$47 @ 86.1¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
Yes$92 @ 88.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Won
No$115 @ 83.1¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Won
No$360 @ 82.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Won
No$4 @ 89.1¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$129 @ 87.8¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Won
No$4 @ 89.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$24	94.6¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$19	97.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Politics	No	$19	92.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$17	86.2¢
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$16	95.0¢
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$15	97.4¢
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$14	95.7¢
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$14	94.0¢
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$10	96.0¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$24 @ 94.6¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$19 @ 97.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
No$19 @ 92.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolitics
No$17 @ 86.2¢
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
No$16 @ 95.0¢
Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
No$15 @ 97.4¢
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
No$14 @ 95.7¢
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
No$14 @ 94.0¢
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
No$10 @ 96.0¢