← Smart money
0x5235…c04a
SharpEdge
+12.3pp
ROI
+24%
Win rate
41% @ 29.1¢
Brier
0.192
Resolved
510
Avg size
$56
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 42% (8/19) | +68% | 19 |
| Other | 13% (2/16) | -91% | 16 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +16% | 1 |
- Politics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (8/19)
- ROI
- +68%
- Other16 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (2/16)
- ROI
- -91%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +16%
Track record
31% hit · 11/36- Yes$543 @ 27.3¢
- Yes$119 @ 5.7¢
- No$26 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$889 @ 64.0¢
- No$166 @ 73.3¢
- Yes$879 @ 24.3¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 20.8¢
- No$157 @ 60.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$58 @ 11.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
- No$14.7k @ 86.1¢
- No$390 @ 39.8¢
- Yes$78 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 57.5¢
- No$519 @ 87.5¢
- Yes$200 @ 11.4¢
- No$4 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 29.9¢
- Yes$587 @ 52.0¢
- No$765 @ 20.1¢
- Yes$668 @ 69.7¢
- Yes$183 @ 7.4¢
- No$83 @ 59.0¢
- No$99 @ 32.0¢
- No$488 @ 69.7¢
- Yes$655 @ 21.1¢
- Yes$507 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$580 @ 31.5¢
- Yes$24 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$678 @ 20.1¢
- Yes$12 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$104 @ 5.1¢
- No$127 @ 20.5¢
- Yes$815 @ 69.2¢
- Yes$43 @ 14.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$139.0k @ 72.2¢
- No$60.8k @ 51.4¢
- No$18.9k @ 73.1¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 36.0¢
- No$2.5k @ 75.9¢
- Yes$765 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$675 @ 16.7¢
- Yes$635 @ 20.1¢
- Yes$536 @ 23.4¢
- No$511 @ 83.9¢
- Yes$503 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$330 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$167 @ 20.9¢
- Yes$135 @ 45.0¢
- No$39 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 22.8¢
- Yes$11 @ 11.0¢
- Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$6 @ 30.8¢
- No$5 @ 62.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 14.0¢