← Smart money
0x5235…c04a
SharpEdge
+10.3pp
ROI
+29%
Win rate
45% @ 34.3¢
Brier
0.130
Resolved
5855
Avg size
$131
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 30% (67/226) | -1% | 226 |
| Politics | 47% (17/36) | +65% | 36 |
| Crypto | 31% (9/29) | -15% | 29 |
| Sports | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +36% | 2 |
| Economy | 50% (1/2) | -18% | 2 |
| Tech | 100% (1/1) | +809% | 1 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other226 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (67/226)
- ROI
- -1%
- Politics36 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (17/36)
- ROI
- +65%
- Crypto29 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (9/29)
- ROI
- -15%
- Sports2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +36%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -18%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +809%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
32% hit · 97/299- Yes$9 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$365 @ 5.9¢
- No$175 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 3.3¢
- No$4 @ 26.0¢
- No$11.2k @ 51.2¢
- No$1.4k @ 40.8¢
- Yes$90 @ 36.0¢
- No$2 @ 7.0¢
- No$5.8k @ 87.8¢
- Yes$306 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 4.5¢
- No$141 @ 23.5¢
- Yes$543 @ 27.3¢
- No$20 @ 20.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 85.8¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 36.0¢
- Yes$119 @ 5.7¢
- No$412 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$22 @ 3.1¢
- No$282 @ 8.5¢
- No$26 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$889 @ 64.0¢
- No$89 @ 48.7¢
- Yes$22 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.5¢
- No$863 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$8.6k @ 49.2¢
- No$166 @ 20.9¢
- Yes$891 @ 67.3¢
- No$640 @ 74.9¢
- Yes$223 @ 15.8¢
- Yes$77 @ 77.0¢
- No$450 @ 60.3¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 15.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
- No$2 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$9 @ 0.9¢
- No$53 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.4¢
- No$166 @ 73.3¢
- Yes$879 @ 24.3¢
- Yes$26 @ 2.2¢
- No$208 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$12 @ 3.1¢
- No$13 @ 89.3¢
- No$310 @ 77.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$31.8k @ 84.6¢
- No$25.7k @ 54.3¢
- Yes$10.8k @ 12.0¢
- Yes$7.9k @ 49.4¢
- No$7.4k @ 19.0¢
- Yes$5.5k @ 17.2¢
- No$4.3k @ 88.6¢
- No$3.8k @ 53.8¢
- Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$3.7k @ 18.4¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 45.8¢
- No$3.2k @ 63.9¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 12.5¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 16.0¢
- No$2.2k @ 41.4¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 33.1¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 21.2¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 15.4¢
- No$1.9k @ 88.4¢
- No$1.8k @ 15.3¢
- No$1.8k @ 24.7¢
- No$1.7k @ 21.4¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 14.5¢
- No$1.6k @ 13.7¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 4.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 15.4¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 6.2¢
- No$1.4k @ 18.1¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 15.3¢
- No$1.2k @ 56.8¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 16.7¢