0x51ec…05fd

Specialization by sphere

• Other194 bets

  Hit rate

  48% (94/194)

  ROI

  +23%

• Crypto18 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (10/18)

  ROI

  +18%

• Sports4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +181%

• Politics4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +27%

• Tech2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +10%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  -52%

• Science1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +56%

• Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$5 @ 12.9¢
• Lighter Airdrop on December 26?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 2.4¢
• TikTok sale announced by March 31?Lost
  No$6 @ 0.5¢
• Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Lost
  No$5 @ 19.0¢
• Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?Won
  No$28 @ 50.0¢
• No airdrop in 2025?Lost
  Yes$37 @ 17.3¢
• Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Won
  Yes$15 @ 30.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?Won
  Yes$55 @ 58.0¢
• Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
  No$38 @ 31.8¢
• Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Won
  No$25 @ 82.0¢
• Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?Won
  No$99 @ 51.7¢
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$210 @ 81.4¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$305 @ 76.8¢
• VOOI FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
  No$38 @ 69.0¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
  No$703 @ 47.4¢
• ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Won
  No$25 @ 75.0¢
• Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Won
  No$147 @ 32.8¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Lost
  Yes$3 @ 7.3¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
  Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
• Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
  No$347 @ 64.2¢
• Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
  No$127 @ 52.3¢
• Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
• Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?Won
  No$61 @ 75.6¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Won
  No$86 @ 86.0¢
• Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by April 30?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 13.0¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$213 @ 85.6¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$96 @ 22.5¢
• X Money launch in 2025?Lost
  Yes$18 @ 38.3¢
• Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?Won
  No$41 @ 74.0¢
• Will MrBeast's animal charity video get between 18–21 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.7¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 7.8¢
• Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Won
  Yes$20 @ 58.5¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 29.0¢
• Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?Lost
  No$56 @ 56.0¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Won
  No$959 @ 75.0¢
• Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Won
  No$102 @ 25.4¢
• Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?Lost
  Yes$129 @ 50.5¢
• Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Won
  No$28 @ 86.0¢
• Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?Won
  No$22 @ 22.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$20 @ 66.0¢
• Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?Lost
  No$25 @ 28.0¢
• Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Lost
  No$12 @ 8.9¢
• Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 0.3¢
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 3.0¢
• Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?Lost
  Yes$138 @ 44.9¢
• GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?Won
  No$5 @ 78.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Won
  No$45 @ 79.0¢
• US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$6 @ 22.0¢
• Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?Won
  No$30 @ 64.6¢
• Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? Lost
  Yes$8 @ 5.9¢

Current positions

• Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$350 @ 77.5¢
• Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$336 @ 65.5¢
• Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$297 @ 74.7¢
• Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$266 @ 64.9¢
• Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$258 @ 64.1¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$251 @ 87.7¢
• Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$168 @ 56.6¢
• StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$163 @ 67.1¢
• Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$149 @ 43.2¢
• Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  Yes$145 @ 66.1¢
• Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$132 @ 66.4¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$123 @ 65.0¢
• Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$107 @ 67.1¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$105 @ 51.4¢
• Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$101 @ 16.4¢
• Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$100 @ 83.0¢
• Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$91 @ 45.6¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$90 @ 64.3¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$85 @ 68.5¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$79 @ 75.4¢
• StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$67 @ 79.5¢
• Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$65 @ 29.1¢
• Multipli.fi FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$62 @ 34.1¢
• Next Token Sale on Coinbase by November 30, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$60 @ 40.0¢
• Will Perpl launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$57 @ 86.0¢
• Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  Yes$55 @ 41.3¢
• Relay FDV above $600M one day after launch?Crypto
  No$48 @ 80.0¢
• Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$47 @ 72.8¢
• Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$47 @ 91.0¢